The Superlist
The Superlist
(4 systems)
You can link to the Superlist or get permission to post it on your
site as soon as it is completed. A link to the Superlist page is
required.
The Superlist rankings are computed by David Wilson using the rankings
for the selected systems on Kenneth Massey's Ratings Comparison Page.
In the following list you will see all the 1-A teams as calculated by
the Superlist formula from this year's members. Each team's rating is
shown, followed by the average rank, followed by the median rank,
followed by the number of systems that put the team in the top thirty,
top ten, top five and top position.
If you wish to use the Superlist to guess the margin of victory of a
given game, subtract the lower team rating from the greater team
rating, then divide by two and add three points to the home team, if
any. That will give you an idea of the expected outcome based on past
performance. If you are a serious gambler, I would suggest you don't
confuse this system with a truly predictive one.
rank team rating average median top30 top10 top5 top1
1 USC 99.875 1.250 1.0 4 4 4 3
2 LSU 98.375 3.250 2.0 4 4 3 0
3 Ohio St 98.250 2.500 3.0 4 4 4 1
4 Florida 97.000 4.000 4.0 4 4 4 0
5 Oklahoma 95.750 5.500 5.0 4 4 3 0
6 West Virginia 94.000 7.000 7.0 4 4 0 0
7 Georgia 92.500 9.000 8.0 4 3 0 0
8 Virginia Tech 92.500 10.000 7.0 4 3 1 0
9 Texas 90.500 10.500 10.5 4 2 0 0
10 Auburn 89.875 12.250 10.0 4 3 0 0
11 Oregon 88.500 13.000 12.0 4 0 0 0
12 Tennessee 86.250 16.500 13.0 4 0 0 0
13 Missouri 85.750 14.500 16.0 4 1 0 0
14 Michigan 85.125 20.750 11.0 3 1 0 0
15 Clemson 83.375 16.750 18.5 4 1 0 0
16 Boston College 82.500 19.500 17.5 3 0 0 0
17 California 81.875 19.750 18.5 4 0 0 0
18 BYU 81.375 20.250 19.0 4 0 0 0
19 Arizona St 80.625 19.750 21.0 4 0 0 0
20 Wisconsin 80.500 21.000 20.0 4 0 0 0
21 Louisville 79.625 23.750 19.0 3 0 0 0
22 Penn St 79.125 21.250 22.5 4 0 0 0
23 Oregon St 78.875 21.250 23.0 4 0 0 0
24 Texas Tech 78.375 21.250 24.0 3 1 1 0
25 Kansas 75.625 23.250 27.5 4 1 0 0
26 Arkansas 73.750 28.500 26.0 3 0 0 0
27 Boise St 73.500 29.000 26.0 3 0 0 0
28 South Florida 72.500 27.000 30.0 2 0 0 0
29 Florida St 71.125 30.750 29.0 2 0 0 0
30 Alabama 70.000 31.500 30.5 2 0 0 0
31 TCU 69.750 32.000 30.5 2 0 0 0
32 Utah 69.500 32.500 30.5 2 0 0 0
33 South Carolina 69.000 31.500 32.5 1 0 0 0
34 UCLA 69.000 33.000 31.0 2 0 0 0
35 Cincinnati 67.125 33.750 34.0 1 0 0 0
36 Wake Forest 66.250 34.500 35.0 1 0 0 0
37 Rutgers 65.875 33.750 36.5 1 0 0 0
38 Oklahoma St 63.250 36.000 39.5 1 0 0 0
39 Texas A&M 61.625 39.750 39.0 0 0 0 0
40 Maryland 58.875 41.250 43.0 0 0 0 0
41 Arizona 57.250 45.000 42.5 0 0 0 0
42 Kentucky 57.125 43.250 44.5 0 0 0 0
43 Nebraska 55.500 47.000 44.0 0 0 0 0
44 Georgia Tech 55.500 49.500 41.5 0 0 0 0
45 Virginia 54.000 48.500 45.5 0 0 0 0
46 Purdue 53.875 45.750 48.5 0 0 0 0
47 Hawaii 52.625 47.750 49.0 1 0 0 0
48 Miami FL 52.000 52.000 46.0 0 0 0 0
49 Michigan St 51.875 48.750 49.5 0 0 0 0
50 Pittsburgh 51.625 48.750 50.0 0 0 0 0
51 Connecticut 49.625 49.750 53.0 0 0 0 0
52 Notre Dame 49.000 52.000 52.0 0 0 0 0
53 Iowa 47.875 52.750 53.5 0 0 0 0
54 Washington St 47.500 53.000 54.0 0 0 0 0
55 Washington 46.625 54.250 54.5 0 0 0 0
56 Fresno St 45.875 55.750 54.5 0 0 0 0
57 Kansas St 45.750 55.000 55.5 0 0 0 0
58 Colorado 43.750 57.000 57.5 0 0 0 0
59 Illinois 42.875 55.250 61.0 0 0 0 0
60 New Mexico 42.375 59.750 57.5 0 0 0 0
61 Tulsa 42.000 59.000 59.0 0 0 0 0
62 Vanderbilt 39.125 62.250 61.5 0 0 0 0
63 Air Force 38.500 64.500 60.5 0 0 0 0
64 Mississippi St 37.875 62.250 64.0 0 0 0 0
65 North Carolina 35.250 66.000 65.5 0 0 0 0
66 NC State 34.875 66.750 65.5 0 0 0 0
67 Houston 33.250 68.000 67.5 0 0 0 0
68 Navy 32.750 71.000 65.5 0 0 0 0
69 Southern Miss 32.375 68.250 69.0 0 0 0 0
70 Northwestern 30.500 70.000 71.0 0 0 0 0
71 Troy 29.625 70.250 72.5 0 0 0 0
72 UCF 27.750 73.500 73.0 0 0 0 0
73 East Carolina 27.625 72.750 74.0 0 0 0 0
74 Stanford 27.500 73.000 74.0 0 0 0 0
75 C Michigan 27.250 72.500 75.0 0 0 0 0
76 Minnesota 26.875 75.250 73.0 0 0 0 0
77 Mississippi 26.500 75.000 74.0 0 0 0 0
78 Nevada 26.000 73.500 76.5 0 0 0 0
79 Indiana 25.625 75.250 75.5 0 0 0 0
80 Wyoming 24.250 76.000 77.5 0 0 0 0
81 Ball St 20.125 79.250 82.5 0 0 0 0
82 Bowling Green 19.875 81.250 81.0 0 0 0 0
83 W Michigan 18.625 81.750 83.0 0 0 0 0
84 Iowa St 18.625 82.250 82.5 0 0 0 0
85 Colorado St 14.875 86.250 86.0 0 0 0 0
86 FL Atlantic 13.000 87.000 89.0 0 0 0 0
87 Toledo 12.625 89.250 87.5 0 0 0 0
88 Miami OH 12.250 88.500 89.0 0 0 0 0
89 Middle Tenn St 12.000 89.500 88.5 0 0 0 0
90 San Diego St 10.500 92.000 89.0 0 0 0 0
91 Marshall 9.250 92.000 91.5 0 0 0 0
92 ULM 8.125 92.750 93.0 0 0 0 0
93 Syracuse 8.125 93.250 92.5 0 0 0 0
94 Memphis 7.000 93.500 94.5 0 0 0 0
95 Baylor 5.000 96.000 96.0 0 0 0 0
96 San Jose St 3.750 98.500 96.0 0 0 0 0
97 N Illinois 3.625 97.250 97.5 0 0 0 0
98 UNLV 3.500 97.000 98.0 0 0 0 0
99 Ohio 3.000 98.000 98.0 0 0 0 0
100 UTEP 1.375 100.750 98.5 0 0 0 0
101 Duke -1.250 101.500 103.0 0 0 0 0
102 Louisiana Tech -1.750 103.000 102.5 0 0 0 0
103 Akron -1.750 103.500 102.0 0 0 0 0
104 Rice -2.375 102.250 104.5 0 0 0 0
105 W Kentucky -2.750 103.000 104.5 0 0 0 0
106 Arkansas St -3.375 104.250 104.5 0 0 0 0
107 UAB -3.625 106.250 103.0 0 0 0 0
108 ULL -5.250 106.000 106.5 0 0 0 0
109 Tulane -5.625 106.250 107.0 0 0 0 0
110 Kent -7.875 105.750 112.0 0 0 0 0
111 SMU -8.250 109.500 109.0 0 0 0 0
112 E Michigan -9.375 108.750 112.0 0 0 0 0
113 New Mexico St -9.625 110.750 110.5 0 0 0 0
114 Army -10.000 112.000 110.0 0 0 0 0
115 Buffalo -11.375 109.750 115.0 0 0 0 0
116 Utah St -14.375 115.250 115.5 0 0 0 0
117 Temple -14.625 114.250 117.0 0 0 0 0
118 North Texas -16.250 117.000 117.5 0 0 0 0
119 Idaho -17.375 117.750 119.0 0 0 0 0
120 Florida Intl -18.500 119.000 120.0 0 0 0 0
The Superlist is compiled from excellent computer rating systems.
Retrodictive systems judge all games are treated equally through the
season and margins of victory are not included. Predictive means that
games are weighted toward the end of the season to reflect their
current strength instead of their average strength throughout the
season as retrodictive ones do. Predictive systems do consider margins
of victory. These are only general observations of retrodictive and
predictive systems. Individual systems may not fit this description
exactly.
rating = the fabricated points issued to each team according to the
Superlist formula. If a team wins the number one position in all
rating systems it will score 100. If a team wins all number two
positions it will score 99. With all number thirty positions a team
would score 71.
rating = 101 - 0.5*(average + median)
average = average ranking by the systems.
median = the middle point at which half the systems awarding the team
a position would show a higher position and half would award it a
lower one. For example, if there were three systems and a team had
positions 18, 24, and 25, the median position would be the middle one
- 24. If there are an even number of systems the two middle numbers
are averaged for the median. That moves one system above the median
and one system below the median unless both systems assign the team
the same position. Examples:
4, 5, 8, and 9 would yield a median of 6.5.
4, 6, 6, and 20 would become 6.
The systems included in the Superlist are:
Ken Ashby's AccuRatings
http://hometown.aol.com/kenashby/myhomepage/
Minimum Violations (MinV) College Football Ranking Data missing
http://www.unf.edu/~jcoleman/minv.htm
NCAA Division IA Football Power Ratings
http://www.jhowell.net/cf/cfindex.htm
Massey Ratings
http://www.masseyratings.com/rate.php?lg=cf&sub=IA&mid=6
F.A.C.T. Data missing
http://www.bol.ucla.edu/~prwolfe/cfootball/rothman.txt
Jeff Sagarin Computer Ratings
http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin.htm
David Wilson's Performance Ratings Data missing
http://homepages.cae.wisc.edu/~dwilson/byrate.html
2006 College Football Data missing
http://www.bol.ucla.edu/~prwolfe/cfootball/ratings.htm
The Sports Report Ranking System Data missing
http://home.bellsouth.net/p/s/community.dll?ep=16&groupid=276851&ck=
_________________________________________
The Superlist was conceived and formulated by Ray Waits of Nutshell Sports
Ratings and consultant Stewart Huckaby of ARGH Ratings. It is the
property
of Ray Waits and
David Wilson.
YourLinx Ratings can be found at:
http://www.nutshellsports.com/
Your comments are welcomed:
ray@ebarrelracing.com
_________________________________________
Feel free to distribute this to your friends. Better yet, tell them
where they can subscribe. They will receive sports ratings year round.
Sports pages you just can't miss:
David Wilson's American College Football - Rankings List
http://www.cae.wisc.edu/~dwilson/rsfc/rate/index.html
Everything you ever wanted to know about College Football
http://www.cae.wisc.edu/~dwilson/rsfc/
Kenneth Massey's College Football Ranking Comparison
http://masseyratings.com/cf/compare.htm
Kenneth Massey's College Basketball Ranking Comparison
http://masseyratings.com/cb/compare.htm
NFL and NCAA Football Prediction Trackers
http://tbeck.freeshell.org/
Jon Dokter's Players' Poll Proposal
http://mintaka.sdsu.edu/~dokter/sw/newpoll.html
Ray Wait's MegaRanking (BCS alternative)
http://www.nutshellsports.com/bcs.html
Know of another great sports page that should be listed here? Send it
to me at:
ray@ebarrelracing.com
