The Superlist
The Superlist
Thursday, January 8, 2009 (9 systems)
You can link to the Superlist or get permission to post it on your
site as soon as it is completed. A link to the Superlist page is
required.
The Superlist rankings are computed by David Wilson using the rankings
for the selected systems on Kenneth Massey's Ratings Comparison Page.
In the following list you will see all the 1-A teams as calculated by
the Superlist formula from this year's members. Each team's rating is
shown, followed by the average rank, followed by the median rank,
followed by the number of systems that put the team in the top thirty,
top ten, top five and top position.
If you wish to use the Superlist to guess the margin of victory of a
given game, subtract the lower team rating from the greater team
rating, then divide by two and add three points to the home team, if
any. That will give you an idea of the expected outcome based on past
performance. If you are a serious gambler, I would suggest you don't
confuse this system with a truly predictive one.
rank team rating average median top30 top10 top5 top1
1 Florida 99.833 1.333 1.0 9 9 9 6
2 USC 98.556 2.889 2.0 9 9 9 1
3 Texas 97.944 3.111 3.0 9 9 9 0
4 Oklahoma 97.111 3.778 4.0 9 9 9 0
5 Utah 96.556 3.889 5.0 9 9 9 2
6 Alabama 94.111 6.778 7.0 9 9 0 0
7 TCU 93.500 8.000 7.0 9 8 0 0
8 Penn St 92.611 8.778 8.0 9 6 0 0
9 Texas Tech 92.278 8.444 9.0 9 9 0 0
10 Boise St 90.444 11.111 10.0 9 5 0 0
11 Oregon 89.889 11.222 11.0 9 2 0 0
12 Ohio St 88.611 12.778 12.0 9 1 0 0
13 Georgia 87.778 13.444 13.0 9 3 0 0
14 Oregon St 87.167 13.667 14.0 9 0 0 0
15 Missouri 83.556 17.889 17.0 9 0 0 0
16 Virginia Tech 83.500 18.000 17.0 9 0 0 0
17 Mississippi 83.389 20.222 15.0 8 2 0 0
18 Florida St 83.000 18.000 18.0 9 0 0 0
19 Oklahoma St 82.278 18.444 19.0 9 0 0 0
20 California 81.833 19.333 19.0 9 0 0 0
21 Nebraska 79.944 21.111 21.0 9 0 0 0
22 Cincinnati 78.889 22.222 22.0 8 0 0 0
23 Pittsburgh 76.056 24.889 25.0 8 0 0 0
24 West Virginia 74.389 27.222 26.0 8 0 0 0
25 Michigan St 73.833 27.333 27.0 7 0 0 0
26 Georgia Tech 71.333 29.333 30.0 5 0 0 0
27 Iowa 71.056 28.889 31.0 4 0 0 0
28 Wake Forest 71.000 31.000 29.0 6 0 0 0
29 Kansas 70.833 30.333 30.0 6 0 0 0
30 Boston College 70.667 30.667 30.0 5 0 0 0
31 North Carolina 69.333 31.333 32.0 3 0 0 0
32 BYU 69.222 31.556 32.0 3 0 0 0
33 Arizona 68.833 31.333 33.0 4 0 0 0
34 LSU 68.611 32.778 32.0 4 0 0 0
35 Maryland 64.167 35.667 38.0 2 0 0 0
36 Clemson 64.000 38.000 36.0 3 0 0 0
37 Rice 63.000 39.000 37.0 2 0 0 0
38 Rutgers 62.222 38.556 39.0 0 0 0 0
39 South Carolina 62.056 39.889 38.0 0 0 0 0
40 Vanderbilt 61.500 40.000 39.0 2 0 0 0
41 Northwestern 60.500 40.000 41.0 0 0 0 0
42 Connecticut 59.056 41.889 42.0 0 0 0 0
43 Miami FL 59.000 42.000 42.0 0 0 0 0
44 Tulsa 57.611 45.778 41.0 0 0 0 0
45 South Florida 56.222 44.556 45.0 0 0 0 0
46 Ball St 53.944 47.111 47.0 2 0 0 0
47 NC State 50.944 51.111 49.0 0 0 0 0
48 Kentucky 50.722 49.556 51.0 0 0 0 0
49 Air Force 50.444 48.111 53.0 0 0 0 0
50 Notre Dame 50.389 50.222 51.0 0 0 0 0
51 East Carolina 49.500 51.000 52.0 0 0 0 0
52 Houston 47.444 54.111 53.0 0 0 0 0
53 Virginia 47.222 53.556 54.0 0 0 0 0
54 Navy 46.667 54.667 54.0 0 0 0 0
55 Wisconsin 46.222 54.556 55.0 0 0 0 0
56 Stanford 44.722 57.556 55.0 0 0 0 0
57 Arkansas 43.889 57.222 57.0 0 0 0 0
58 Colorado St 42.278 56.444 61.0 0 0 0 0
59 Duke 41.389 64.222 55.0 0 0 0 0
60 Colorado 39.833 59.333 63.0 1 0 0 0
61 Tennessee 38.944 63.111 61.0 0 0 0 0
62 Nevada 38.278 61.444 64.0 0 0 0 0
63 Arizona St 38.056 63.889 62.0 0 0 0 0
64 W Michigan 36.389 63.222 66.0 0 0 0 0
65 Troy 36.278 64.444 65.0 0 0 0 0
66 Auburn 36.222 64.556 65.0 0 0 0 0
67 Southern Miss 34.000 68.000 66.0 0 0 0 0
68 Minnesota 34.000 66.000 68.0 0 0 0 0
69 Louisiana Tech 33.444 67.111 68.0 0 0 0 0
70 Buffalo 33.000 68.000 68.0 0 0 0 0
71 Baylor 31.889 68.222 70.0 0 0 0 0
72 Fresno St 31.222 68.556 71.0 0 0 0 0
73 Hawaii 30.444 70.111 71.0 0 0 0 0
74 Illinois 30.167 70.667 71.0 0 0 0 0
75 C Michigan 26.778 73.444 75.0 0 0 0 0
76 UCLA 26.167 74.667 75.0 0 0 0 0
77 Purdue 24.944 76.111 76.0 0 0 0 0
78 Kansas St 24.333 77.333 76.0 0 0 0 0
79 FL Atlantic 22.778 78.444 78.0 0 0 0 0
80 UNLV 21.278 77.444 82.0 0 0 0 0
81 Louisville 20.722 80.556 80.0 0 0 0 0
82 Mississippi St 19.056 82.889 81.0 0 0 0 0
83 Bowling Green 18.500 82.000 83.0 0 0 0 0
84 UTEP 17.833 84.333 82.0 0 0 0 0
85 New Mexico 17.667 83.667 83.0 0 0 0 0
86 Texas A&M 14.833 87.333 85.0 0 0 0 0
87 San Jose St 14.389 87.222 86.0 0 0 0 0
88 Temple 13.389 88.222 87.0 0 0 0 0
89 N Illinois 13.222 87.556 88.0 0 0 0 0
90 ULL 11.000 90.000 90.0 0 0 0 0
91 Syracuse 10.944 88.111 92.0 0 0 0 0
92 Memphis 10.278 90.444 91.0 0 0 0 0
93 Marshall 10.111 91.778 90.0 0 0 0 0
94 Arkansas St 9.222 91.556 92.0 0 0 0 0
95 Michigan 8.000 94.000 92.0 0 0 0 0
96 Akron 6.167 94.667 95.0 0 0 0 0
97 Florida Intl 2.833 97.333 99.0 0 0 0 0
98 Wyoming 2.556 97.889 99.0 0 0 0 0
99 Middle Tenn St 2.500 99.000 98.0 0 0 0 0
100 UCF 2.333 99.333 98.0 0 0 0 0
101 Utah St 2.167 98.667 99.0 0 0 0 0
102 UAB 0.611 99.778 101.0 0 0 0 0
103 Ohio 0.056 100.889 101.0 0 0 0 0
104 Indiana -3.167 104.333 104.0 0 0 0 0
105 Iowa St -5.722 106.444 107.0 0 0 0 0
106 Army -6.500 108.000 107.0 0 0 0 0
107 Kent -7.333 108.667 108.0 0 0 0 0
108 Toledo -7.444 107.889 109.0 0 0 0 0
109 ULM -8.278 108.556 110.0 0 0 0 0
110 San Diego St -8.556 108.111 111.0 0 0 0 0
111 New Mexico St -9.222 109.444 111.0 0 0 0 0
112 E Michigan -10.056 111.111 111.0 0 0 0 0
113 Washington St -10.444 110.889 112.0 0 0 0 0
114 Tulane -12.667 113.333 114.0 0 0 0 0
115 Washington -13.556 114.111 115.0 0 0 0 0
116 SMU -15.111 116.222 116.0 0 0 0 0
117 Idaho -15.389 114.778 118.0 0 0 0 0
118 Miami OH -16.056 117.111 117.0 0 0 0 0
119 W Kentucky -17.833 118.667 119.0 0 0 0 0
120 North Texas -18.667 119.333 120.0 0 0 0 0
The Superlist is compiled from excellent computer rating systems.
Retrodictive systems judge all games are treated equally through the
season and margins of victory are not included. Predictive means that
games are weighted toward the end of the season to reflect their
current strength instead of their average strength throughout the
season as retrodictive ones do. Predictive systems do consider margins
of victory. These are only general observations of retrodictive and
predictive systems. Individual systems may not fit this description
exactly.
rating = the fabricated points issued to each team according to the
Superlist formula. If a team wins the number one position in all
rating systems it will score 100. If a team wins all number two
positions it will score 99. With all number thirty positions a team
would score 71.
rating = 101 - 0.5*(average + median)
average = average ranking by the systems.
median = the middle point at which half the systems awarding the team
a position would show a higher position and half would award it a
lower one. For example, if there were three systems and a team had
positions 18, 24, and 25, the median position would be the middle one
- 24. If there are an even number of systems the two middle numbers
are averaged for the median. That moves one system above the median
and one system below the median unless both systems assign the team
the same position. Examples:
4, 5, 8, and 9 would yield a median of 6.5.
4, 6, 6, and 20 would become 6.
The systems included in the Superlist are:
Ken Ashby's AccuRatings
http://www.geocities.com/kenashby@ymail.com/ncaaf.html
Minimum Violations (MinV) College Football Ranking
http://www.unf.edu/~jcoleman/minv.htm
NCAA Division IA Football Power Ratings
http://www.jhowell.net/cf/cfindex.htm
Massey Ratings
http://www.masseyratings.com/rate.php?lg=cf&sub=IA&mid=6
F.A.C.T.
http://www.bol.ucla.edu/~prwolfe/cfootball/rothman.txt
Jeff Sagarin Computer Ratings
http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin.htm
David Wilson's Performance Ratings
http://homepages.cae.wisc.edu/~dwilson/byrate.html
2006 College Football
http://www.bol.ucla.edu/~prwolfe/cfootball/ratings.htm
GTF College Football Rankings
http://kf4hee.angelfire.com/
_________________________________________
The Superlist was conceived and formulated by Ray Waits of Nutshell Sports
Ratings and consultant Stewart Huckaby of ARGH Ratings. It is the
property
of Ray Waits and
David Wilson.
YourLinx Ratings can be found at:
http://www.nutshellsports.com/
Your comments are welcomed:
ray@ebarrelracing.com
_________________________________________
Feel free to distribute this to your friends. Better yet, tell them
where they can subscribe. They will receive sports ratings year round.
Sports pages you just can't miss:
David Wilson's American College Football - Rankings List
http://www.cae.wisc.edu/~dwilson/rsfc/rate/index.html
Everything you ever wanted to know about College Football
http://www.cae.wisc.edu/~dwilson/rsfc/
Kenneth Massey's College Football Ranking Comparison
http://masseyratings.com/cf/compare.htm
Kenneth Massey's College Basketball Ranking Comparison
http://masseyratings.com/cb/compare.htm
NFL and NCAA Football Prediction Trackers
http://tbeck.freeshell.org/
Jon Dokter's Players' Poll Proposal
http://mintaka.sdsu.edu/~dokter/sw/newpoll.html
Ray Wait's MegaRanking (BCS alternative)
http://www.nutshellsports.com/bcs.html
Know of another great sports page that should be listed here? Send it
to me at:
ray@ebarrelracing.com
