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REFEREED JOURNAL PUBLICATIONS

(*= one of my students)


Published/Accepted

  1. O. Alagoz and M. Azizoglu (2003) "Rescheduling of Identical Parallel Machines under Machine Eligibility Constraints," European Journal of Operational Research, 149(3), p. 523-532.
  2. O. Alagoz, L. M. Maillart, A. J. Schaefer and M. S. Roberts (2004), "The Optimal Timing of Living-Donor Liver Transplantation," Management Science, 50(10), p.1420-1430.
  3. S. M. Shechter, C. L. Bryce, O. Alagoz, J. E. Kreke, J. E. Stahl, A. J. Schaefer, D. C. Angus and M. S. Roberts (2005), "A Clinically Based Discrete-Event Simulation of End-Stage Liver Disease and the Organ Allocation Process," Medical Decision Making, 25(2), p. 199-209.
  4. M. Azizoglu and O. Alagoz (2005), "Parallel Machine Rescheduling with Machine Disruptions," IIE Transactions, 37(12), p.1113-1118.
  5. O. Alagoz, C. L. Bryce, S.M. Shechter, A. J. Schaefer, C. C. Chang, D. C. Angus and M. S. Roberts (2005), "Incorporating Biological Natural History in Simulation Models: Empirical Estimates of the Progression of End-stage Liver Disease," Medical Decision Making, 25(6), p. 620-632.
  6. O. Alagoz, L. M. Maillart, A. J. Schaefer and M. S. Roberts (2007), "Determining the Acceptance of Cadaveric Livers Using an Implicit Model of the Waiting List," Operations Research, 55(1), p. 24-36.
  7. O. Alagoz, L. M. Maillart, A. J. Schaefer and M. S. Roberts (2007), "Choosing among Living-Donor and Cadaveric Livers," Management Science, 53(11), p.1702-1715.
  8. O. Alagoz, B. A. Norman and A. E. Smith (2007), "Determining Aisle Structures for Facility Designs Using a Hierarchy of Algorithms," IIE Transactions, 40(11), p.1019-1031.
  9. B. Sandikci, L. M. Maillart, A. J. Schaefer, O. Alagoz, and M. S. Roberts (2008), "Estimating the Patient's Price of Privacy in Liver Transplantation," Operations Research, 56(6), p.1393-1410.
  10. J. Chhatwal*, O. Alagoz, M. J. Lindstrom, C. E. Kahn, K. A. Shaffer and E. S. Burnside (2009), "A Logistic Regression Model Based on the National Mammography Database Format to Aid Breast Cancer Diagnosis," American Journal of Roentgenology, 192(4), p.1117-1127.
    - this paper was covered extensively in media (more than 60 websites and news sites as of April 9, 2009), see for example:
    United Press International
  11. E. S. Burnside, J. Davis, J. Chhatwal*, O. Alagoz, M. J. Lindstrom, B. M. Geller, B. Littenberg, C. E. Kahn, K. A. Shaffer, and C. D. Page (2009), "Probabilistic Computer Model Developed from Clinical Data in the National Mammography Database Format to Classify Mammographic Findings," Radiology, 251(3), p.663-672.
  12. T. Ayer*, J. Chhatwal*, O. Alagoz, E.S. Burnside, and C.E. Kahn (2009), "Comparison of Logistic Regression and Artificial Neural Network Models with an Example in Breast Cancer Risk Estimation Based on Mammography Findings," Radiographics (In press).
  13. J. Zhuang, V. Bier,O. Alagoz (2009), "Modeling Secrecy and Deception in a Multiple-period Attacker-Defender Signaling Game," European Journal of Operational Research (In press).
  14. O. Alagoz, H. E. Hsu, M. S. Roberts, and A. J. Schaefer (2009), "Markov decision processes: A tool for sequential decision making under uncertainty," Medical Decision Making (In press).
  15. T. Ayer*, O. Alagoz, J. Chhatwal*, J. Shavlik, E.S. Burnside, and C.E. Kahn (2009), "Breast Cancer Risk Estimation with Artificial Neural Networks Revisited: Discrimination and Calibration," Cancer (In press).
    - winner of SMDM 2009 Lee B. Lusted Student Prize Award
  16. J. Chhatwal*, O. Alagoz, and E. S. Burnside (2009), "Optimal Policies for Biopsy Decision-Making Based on Mammography Findings and Demographic Factors," Operations Research (In press).
    - 2nd place award of 2008 INFORMS JFIG paper competition
    - winner of 2008 Best Student Paper Award of the Decision Analysis Society of INFORMS
    - winner of 2008 Best Student Paper Award of the Manufacturing and Service Operations Management Society of INFORMS
    - winner of INFORMS 2007 Annual Meeting Best Poster Award
  17. S. M. Shechter, O. Alagoz, and M. S. Roberts (2009), "Irreversible Treatment Decisions under Medical Research and Development," IIE Transactions (In press).

Submitted/Under review

  1. M. Akan, O. Alagoz, B. Ata, and F. S. Erenay* (2009) (names are in alphabetical order), "Optimizing Liver Allocation System Incorporating Disease Evolution," submitted.
    - winner of 2009 Best Paper Award of the Service Science Section of INFORMS (sponsored by IBM)
  2. F. S. Erenay*,O. Alagoz, R. Banerjee, R. Cima, "Modeling the Natural History of Metachronous Colorectal Cancer under Colonoscopy Screenings," submitted.
  3. D. Ge, A. Krishnamurty, O. Alagoz, "Optimal Production Control Policy for Kanban Controlled Systems with Advance Demand Information," submitted.

REFEREED BOOK CHAPTERS & CONFERENCE PROCEEDINGS


  1. O. Alagoz, C. L. Bryce, J. Chang, A. J. Schaefer, D. C. Angus, and M. S. Roberts (2002), "Predicting the future health status of liver disease patients using empiric stochastic models," Proceedings of the 24th Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making. Also appears in Medical Decision Making, 22(6), p. 541. Abstract.
  2. O. Alagoz, A. J. Schaefer, L. M. Maillart, and M. S. Roberts (2002), "Determining the optimal timing of living donor liver transplantation using a Markov decision process (MDP) model", Proceedings of the 24th Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making. Also appears in Medical Decision Making, 22(6), p. 558. Abstract.
  3. O. Alagoz, B. A. Norman and A. E. Smith (2002), "Designing Aisle Networks to Facilitate Material Flow," Progress in Material Handling Research:2002 edited by R. Meller, M. K. Ogle, B. A. Peters, G. D. Taylor and J. Usher. p. 11-25. Material Handling Institute, Charlotte, NC.
  4. C. L. Bryce, O. Alagoz, A.J. Schaefer, M.S. Roberts (2003), "Modeling the Progression of Liver Disease over Time: A Comparison of Level and Direction-based Algorithms," Proceedings of the 25th Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making. Also appears in Medical Decision Making 23(6), p. 556, 2003. Abstract.
  5. M. S. Roberts, C. L. Bryce, A.J. Schaefer, S.M. Shechter, O. Alagoz, D.C. Angus (2003), "Optimal Organ Allocation Policy: A Biologically based Simulation Model," Proceedings of the 25th Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making. Also appears in Medical Decision Making 23(6), p. 575. Abstract.
  6. O. Alagoz, L.M. Maillart, A.J. Schaefer, and M.S. Roberts (2005), "When to Accept a Cadaveric Liver Offer for Transplantation? A Markov Decision Process (MDP) Approach," Proceedings of the 26th Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making. Also appears in Medical Decision Making 25(1), p. E12. Abstract.
  7. O. Alagoz, L.M. Maillart, A.J. Schaefer, and M.S. Roberts (2006), "Choosing Between Cadaveric and Living-Donor Livers: A Markov Decision Process (MDP) Model Approach," Proceedings of the 27th Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making. Also appears in Medical Decision Making, 26(1), p. E74. Abstract.
  8. J. Chhatwal*, O. Alagoz, C.E. Kahn, E.S. Burnside (2006) "A Logistic Regression Model to Aid Breast Cancer Diagnosis Based on the National Mammography Database Format," Proceedings of the 92nd Annual Meeting of Radiology Society of North America 2006. Abstract.
  9. J. Chhatwal*, O. Alagoz, C.E. Kahn, E.S. Burnside (2006) "Bayesian Network Versus Logistic Regression Model for Computer Aided Diagnosis of Breast Cancer," Proceedings of the 28th Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making. Abstract.
  10. B. Sandikci, O. Alagoz, L. M. Maillart, M. S. Roberts, and A. J. Schaefer (2006), "Using the Waiting List Information to Optimize the Timing of Liver Transplantation," Proceedings of the 28th Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making. Abstract.
  11. J. Chhatwal*, O. Alagoz, and E.S. Burnside (2007), "When to Biopsy in Breast Cancer Diagnosis? A Quantitative Model Using Markov Decision Processes," Proceedings of the 29th Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making. Abstract.
  12. J. Chhatwal*, O. Alagoz, and E.S. Burnside (2007), "Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) Curves versus Precision-Recall (PR) Curves in Models Evaluated with Unbalanced Data," Proceedings of the 29th Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making. Abstract.
  13. B. Sandikci, O. Alagoz, L. M. Maillart, M. S. Roberts, and A. J. Schaefer (2007), "Estimating the Price of Privacy in Liver Transplantation," Proceedings of the 29th Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making. Abstract.
  14. E.S. Burnside, J. Chhatwal*, K. Shinki, K. A. Shaffer, L. R. Salkowski, J. P. Fine, and O. Alagoz (2007), "Calculating Mammography Performance at the Examination versus Finding Level Significantly Affects Outcome Measures," Proceedings of the 93rd Annual Meeting of Radiology Society of North America 2007. Abstract.
  15. J. Chhatwal*, O. Alagoz, and E. S. Burnside (2008) "Optimal Policies for Breast Biopsy Decision Making," Proceedings of the Manufacturing and Service Operations Management Society 2008 Conference. Abstract.
  16. J. Chhatwal*, O. Alagoz, and E. S. Burnside (2008), " Biopsy or Short Interval Follow-Up? A Markov Decision Process Model for Early Diagnosis of Breast Cancer," Proceedings of the 30th Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making. Abstract.
  17. J. Chhatwal*, O. Alagoz , H. G. Nassif, E. A. Sickles, C. S. Jovais, and E. S. Burnside (2008), "Predicting the Risk of Invasive versus In-situ Breast Cancer to Aid Clinical Management," Proceedings of the 30th Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making. Abstract.
  18. T. Ayer*, O. Alagoz, J. Chhatwal*, J. Shavlik, C. Kahn, and E. S. Burnside (2008), "Comparing Artificial Neural Network Training Strategies for Breast Cancer Risk Prediction," Proceedings of the 30th Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making. Abstract.
  19. F. S. Erenay*, O. Alagoz, R. Banerjee, and R. Cima (2008), "Simulation of Secondary Colorectal Cancer under Colonoscopy Screenings," Proceedings of the 30th Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making. Abstract.
  20. J. Chhatwal*, O. Alagoz, and E. S. Burnside (2008), "A Computational Model to Calculate an Optimal Threshold for Biopsy or Short Interval Imaging Follow-Up Based on Patient Characteristics," Proceedings of the 94th Annual Meeting of Radiology Society of North America. Abstract.
  21. T. Ayer*, J. Chhatwal*,O. Alagoz, E. S. Burnside (2008), "Comparison of Artificial Neural Network and Logistic Regression Model for Breast Cancer Risk Prediction," Proceedings of the 94th Annual Meeting of Radiology Society of North America. Abstract.
  22. D. Ge, A. Krishnamurty,O. Alagoz (2009), Optimal Release Policy for Kanban Control Systems with Imperfect Advance Demand Information," Proceedings of the Manufacturing and Service Operations Management Society 2009 Conference. Abstract.
  23. N. Batina*, O. Alagoz, A. Trentham-Dietz, M. Rosenberg, R. Gangnon, and D. Fryback (2009), "Using Computer Simulation to Investigate Racial Disparities in the Natural History of Breast Cancer," Proceedings of the 31st Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making. Abstract.
  24. M. Ayvaci *, O. Alagoz, J. Chhatwal*, E.S. Burnside, and E. Sickles (2009), "Superior Performance of Bayesian Networks in Predicting the Risk of Invasive versus In-Situ Breast Cancer in Older Women," Proceedings of the 31st Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making. Abstract.
  25. T. Ayer*, O. Alagoz, J. Chhatwal*, J. Shavlik, C. Kahn, and E.S. Burnside (2009), "Discrimination and Calibration of Artificial Neural Networks in Mammographic Diagnosis," Proceedings of the 31st Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making. Abstract.
  26. T. Ayer*, O. Alagoz, and N. K. Stout (2009), "A Mathematical Model to Optimize Breast Cancer Screening Policy," Proceedings of the 31st Annual Meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making. Abstract.

WORKING PAPERS

  1. M. Ayvaci*, J. Chhatwal*, O. Alagoz, E. Sickles, and E. S. Burnside, "Detecting In-Situ versus Invasive Cancer: A comparison of Older and Younger Women," in preparation.
  2. O. Alagoz, J. Chhatwal*, and E. S. Burnside "Are radiologists recommending excessive follow-ups?" in preparation.
  3. E. S. Burnside, J. Chhatwal*, O. Alagoz, "A Mathematical Model to Understand and Personalize the Risk Threshold at Which to Recommend Breast Biopsy," in preparation.
  4. J. Chhatwal*, O. Alagoz, and E. S. Burnside, "Misuse of ROC Curves When Evaluating Performance on Unbalanced Data," in preparation.
  5. T. Ayer*, O. Alagoz, and N. K. Stout "Optimal Screening Procedures for Early Diagnosis of Breast Cancer," in preparation.
    - winner of INFORMS 2009 Annual Meeting Best Poster Award
  6. F. S. Erenay*, O. Alagoz, and A. Said "Optimal Policies for Colorectal Cancer Screening," in preparation.
  7. G. Saka, O. Alagoz, L. M. Maillart, A. J. Schaefer, and M. S. Roberts, "Determining the Optimal Set of Regions for Multiply Listing Patients with End-Stage Liver Disease," in preparation.
  8. N. Batina*, O. Alagoz, A. Trentham-Dietz, M. Rosenberg, R. Gangnon, and D. Fryback, "Using Computer Simulation to Investigate Racial Disparities in the Natural History of Breast Cancer," in preparation.
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