ARGH Ratings are now at: http://members.aol.com/swhuck/ Please update your bookmarks. Date: Tue, 5 Jan 1999 03:21:26 -0500 From: Stewart Huckaby Subject: Final ARGH Power Ratings 1998 The following are the final ARGH power ratings for the 112 Division 1-A teams for 1998. Middle Tennessee State is also included in the ratings, as they played two games against current Division 1-A teams and will be joining Division 1-A in 1999. Buffalo, who also joins Division 1-A in 1999, will not be rated until next year, since they played no games against Division 1-A teams in 1998. The final estimated home field advantage for 1998 is .594. Home field advantage is the estimated chance that the home team would win a game between two otherwise equal teams. Feedback encouraged at SWHuck@compuserve.com. Best viewed in a fixed-width font. Power Pre- TW LW Team Record Rating Season 1 1 Tennessee 13-0 .932 7 2 4 Ohio St. 11-1 .918 4 3 2 Florida St. 11-2 .902 3 4 5 Wisconsin 11-1 .887 15 5 3 Kansas St. 11-2 .876 2 6 8 Florida 10-2 .860 5 7 10 Arizona 12-1 .842 36 8 6 Texas A&M 11-3 .839 18 9 11 Air Force 12-1 .838 53 10 7 UCLA 10-2 .821 10 11 9 Nebraska 9-4 .820 6 12 15 Penn State 9-3 .812 19 13 13 Tulane 12-0 .800 33 14 19 Michigan 10-3 .792 1 15 22 Virginia Tech 9-3 .785 40 16 21 Purdue 9-4 .782 31 17 12 Arkansas 9-3 .771 32 18 23 Georgia Tech 10-2 .771 22 19 24 Texas 9-3 .757 73 20 16 Virginia 9-3 .752 28 21 25 Missouri 8-4 .748 41 22 20 Syracuse 8-4 .746 23 23 14 Southern Cal 8-5 .744 25 24 27 Georgia 9-3 .741 21 25 18 Notre Dame 9-3 .740 20 26 26 Miami, OH 10-1 .728 49 27 17 Oregon 8-4 .726 17 28 31 Miami, FL 9-3 .713 60 29 30 West Virginia 8-4 .693 39 30 34 Colorado 8-4 .682 44 31 29 Mississippi St. 8-5 .675 37 32 28 S. Mississippi 7-5 .664 16 33 33 Kentucky 7-5 .656 47 34 40 Marshall 12-1 .649 26 35 37 Colorado St. 8-4 .642 13 36 38 Michigan St. 6-6 .641 24 37 32 Texas Tech 7-5 .626 51 38 35 Alabama 7-5 .623 56 39 41 C. Florida 9-2 .621 62 40 43 Louisiana St. 4-7 .602 8 41 36 Washington 6-6 .601 11 42 39 N. Carolina St. 7-5 .600 63 43 46 Wyoming 8-3 .589 52 44 47 N. Carolina 7-5 .586 12 45 42 Brigham Young 9-5 .582 43 46 44 Oklahoma St. 5-6 .579 30 47 45 Arizona St. 5-6 .553 14 48 58 Texas Christian 7-5 .551 108 49 55 Mississippi 7-5 .549 35 50 51 Minnesota 5-6 .544 70 51 48 Oregon St. 5-6 .542 58 52 50 Utah 7-4 .533 55 53 49 San Diego St. 7-5 .517 87 54 54 Louisiana Tech 6-6 .511 57 55 52 California 5-6 .501 38 56 56 Oklahoma 5-6 .495 84 57 62 Idaho 9-3 .493 101 58 53 Louisville 7-5 .493 103 59 57 Auburn 3-8 .493 9 60 59 Rice 5-6 .486 48 61 61 Indiana 4-7 .473 88 62 60 Fresno St. 5-6 .460 66 63 67 Toledo 7-5 .441 46 64 65 Boston College 4-7 .439 81 65 63 Nevada 6-5 .438 74 66 69 S. Methodist 5-7 .435 71 67 66 Kansas 4-7 .427 67 68 68 E. Carolina 6-5 .420 68 69 64 Stanford 3-8 .417 54 70 70 Bowling Green 5-6 .410 96 71 71 Tulsa 4-7 .391 90 72 75 W. Michigan 7-4 .376 64 73 81 Iowa 3-8 .370 29 74 76 Iowa St. 3-8 .370 89 75 78 Ohio 5-6 .369 27 76 74 Houston 3-8 .366 92 77 77 Clemson 3-8 .365 42 78 72 Baylor 2-9 .363 86 79 73 Washington St. 3-8 .359 50 80 80 Duke 4-7 .353 77 81 79 Army 3-8 .350 98 82 82 Wake Forest 3-8 .340 45 83 85 Northwestern 3-9 .329 59 84 83 Maryland 3-8 .319 83 85 86 Rutgers 5-6 .313 113 86 87 Boise St. 6-5 .308 75 87 84 San Jose St. 4-8 .307 91 88 88 UAB 4-7 .299 93 89 89 NE Louisiana 5-6 .295 65 90 91 C. Michigan 6-5 .294 97 91 92 S. Carolina 1-10 .282 34 92 94 Illinois 3-8 .281 107 93 90 UTEP 3-8 .278 95 94 95 Pittsburgh 2-9 .268 79 95 93 Memphis 2-9 .265 72 96 97 New Mexico St. 3-8 .260 104 97 96 Navy 3-8 .259 94 98 100 Akron 4-7 .254 78 99 98 N. Texas 3-8 .250 102 100 99 Utah St. 3-8 .246 85 101 101 Vanderbilt 2-9 .244 80 102 102 Cincinnati 2-9 .226 61 103 103 New Mexico 3-9 .214 76 104 104 Temple 2-9 .197 100 105 105 Arkansas St. 4-8 .177 99 106 106 E. Michigan 3-8 .174 106 107 107 M. Tennessee St. 5-5 .168 114 108 108 SW Louisiana 2-9 .152 111 109 109 N. Illinois 2-9 .140 110 110 111 UNLV 0-11 .132 69 111 110 Wild Card U. 9-44 .126 112 112 112 Ball St. 1-10 .105 82 113 113 Hawaii 0-12 .067 105 114 114 Kent 0-11 .053 109 The following are the power ratings for the various conferences. Non-conference opponents' records assume a 1-10-1 record for non-Division 1-A teams, to best simulate their 6-41 record against Division 1-AA competition: Non-Conf NC Opponents' Power Record Pct. Record Pct. Big Twelve .632 33-12 .733 252-271 .482 Big Ten .621 30-12 .714 246-245 .501 SEC .619 31-13 .705 265-251 .514 Pac-10 .611 25-12 .676 240-201 .544 ACC .554 21-12 .636 192-196 .495 Big East .519 19-17 .528 217-204 .515 Conference USA .448 18-25 .419 278-227 .550 WAC .439 22-36 .379 357-322 .526 Independents .382 30-37 .448 360-427 .457 MAC .333 12-23 .343 179-225 .443 Big West .333 15-22 .405 174-257 .404 Previous ARGH National Champions Year #1 Team Best Conference 1968 Penn State SEC 1969 Penn State SEC 1970 Notre Dame SEC 1971 Nebraska SEC 1972 Oklahoma SEC 1973 Oklahoma Big Eight 1974 Oklahoma SEC 1975 Alabama Big Eight 1976 Pittsburgh Big Eight 1977 Notre Dame SEC 1978 Southern Cal Pac-10 1979 Alabama ACC 1980 Pittsburgh SEC 1981 Clemson SWC 1982 Nebraska SEC 1983 Auburn SEC 1984 Brigham Young SEC 1985 Michigan SEC 1986 Penn State Pac-10 1987 Miami, FL SEC 1988 Notre Dame Pac-10 1989 Notre Dame SEC 1990 Georgia Tech ACC 1991 Washington SEC 1992 Alabama Pac-10 1993 Florida State Pac-10 1994 Nebraska Big Ten 1995 Nebraska Big Ten 1996 Ohio State Big Ten 1997 Michigan SEC 1998 Tennessee Big Twelve