< FINAL 1998 NFL STANDINGS > BASED ON 251 GAMES BETWEEN 30 TEAMS, AND NO OTHER INFORMATION FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS RANK TEAM DIVISION LOGIT PCT. RRE PF PA W L T 1 Denver AC West 64.70 .836 .839 596 341 17 2 0 Champion 2 Minnesota NC Cent 63.37 .844 .817 624 347 16 2 0 3 Atlanta NC West 61.96 .755 .792 511 368 16 3 0 4 New York Jets AC East 59.17 .686 .735 460 313 13 5 0 5 San Francisco NC West 58.46 .688 .719 527 375 13 5 0 6 Miami AC East 56.12 .585 .665 348 320 11 7 0 7 Jacksonville AC Cent 54.71 .632 .630 441 382 12 6 0 8 Buffalo AC East 53.90 .583 .609 417 357 10 7 0 9 Green Bay NC Cent 53.60 .625 .601 435 349 11 6 0 10 New England AC East 53.40 .510 .596 347 354 9 8 0 11 Dallas NC East 51.57 .593 .547 388 295 10 7 0 12 Seattle AC West 50.04 .528 .505 372 310 8 8 0 13 Tampa Bay NC Cent 49.25 .507 .484 314 295 8 8 0 14 New York Giants NC East 49.19 .492 .482 287 309 8 8 0 15 Tennessee AC Cent 48.98 .502 .477 330 320 8 8 0 16 Kansas City AC West 48.80 .453 .472 327 363 7 9 0 17 New Orleans NC West 48.59 .401 .466 305 359 6 10 0 18 Oakland AC West 48.20 .460 .455 288 356 8 8 0 19 Arizona NC East 47.60 .503 .439 366 426 10 8 0 20 Pittsburgh AC Cent 46.33 .443 .405 263 303 7 9 0 21 Carolina NC West 45.65 .326 .387 336 413 4 12 0 22 Washington NC East 45.17 .384 .374 319 421 6 10 0 23 St. Louis NC West 44.99 .307 .370 285 378 4 12 0 24 Detroit NC Cent 44.65 .355 .361 306 378 5 11 0 25 Baltimore AC Cent 44.37 .397 .354 269 335 6 10 0 26 Chicago NC Cent 43.65 .307 .335 276 368 4 12 0 27 San Diego AC West 42.97 .333 .318 241 342 5 11 0 28 Indianapolis AC East 42.36 .256 .304 310 444 3 13 0 29 Philadelphia NC East 39.26 .237 .233 161 344 3 13 0 30 Cincinnati AC Cent 39.00 .224 .228 268 452 3 13 0 LN( 251- 30+1) LEAST LIKELY RESULTS OF TOURNAMENT (APPROX. THEORY) 1 St. Louis NC West 30 New York Jets AC East 10 .194 Week 6 2 Baltimore AC Cent 24 New York Jets AC East 10 .216 Week 2 3 New York Giants NC East 20 Denver AC West 16 .309 Week 15 4 Indianapolis AC East 24 New York Jets AC East 23 .322 Week 11 5 Tampa Bay NC Cent 27 Minnesota NC Cent 24 .362 Week 9 DAVID ROTHMAN, EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR, FACT, 14125 DOTY AVENUE, #23, HAWTHORNE, CA 90250-8042, (310)676-4032, drothman1@juno.com