The Superlist
The Superlist
(3 systems)
You can link to the Superlist or get permission to post it on your
site as soon as it is completed. A link to the Superlist page is
required.
The Superlist rankings are computed by David Wilson using the rankings
for the selected systems on Kenneth Massey's Ratings Comparison Page.
In the following list you will see all the 1-A teams as calculated by
the Superlist formula from this year's members. Each team's rating is
shown, followed by the average rank, followed by the median rank,
followed by the number of systems that put the team in the top thirty,
top ten, top five and top position.
If you wish to use the Superlist to guess the margin of victory of a
given game, subtract the lower team rating from the greater team
rating, then divide by two and add three points to the home team, if
any. That will give you an idea of the expected outcome based on past
performance. If you are a serious gambler, I would suggest you don't
confuse this system with a truly predictive one.
rank team rating average median top30 top10 top5 top1
1 USC 99.833 1.333 1.0 3 3 3 2
2 Ohio St 98.333 2.333 3.0 3 3 3 1
3 LSU 98.167 3.667 2.0 3 3 2 0
4 Florida 97.000 4.000 4.0 3 3 3 0
5 Oklahoma 96.167 4.667 5.0 3 3 3 0
6 West Virginia 94.000 7.000 7.0 3 3 0 0
7 Georgia 91.500 10.000 9.0 3 2 0 0
8 Texas 91.500 10.000 9.0 3 2 0 0
9 Virginia Tech 91.167 11.667 8.0 3 2 0 0
10 Auburn 89.500 13.000 10.0 3 2 0 0
11 Oregon 88.167 13.667 12.0 3 0 0 0
12 Missouri 87.167 12.667 15.0 3 1 0 0
13 Tennessee 85.667 17.667 13.0 3 0 0 0
14 BYU 84.000 18.000 16.0 3 0 0 0
15 Clemson 83.333 16.333 19.0 3 1 0 0
16 Michigan 83.167 24.667 11.0 2 0 0 0
17 Boston College 81.833 20.333 18.0 2 0 0 0
18 Wisconsin 81.333 19.333 20.0 3 0 0 0
19 Arizona St 81.000 19.000 21.0 3 0 0 0
20 Texas Tech 80.833 17.333 23.0 3 1 1 0
21 Penn St 79.667 20.667 22.0 3 0 0 0
22 Louisville 78.833 25.333 19.0 2 0 0 0
23 California 78.667 21.667 23.0 3 0 0 0
24 Boise St 77.500 22.000 25.0 3 0 0 0
25 Oregon St 77.333 23.333 24.0 3 0 0 0
26 Kansas 76.667 21.667 27.0 3 1 0 0
27 TCU 73.833 26.333 28.0 2 0 0 0
28 South Florida 73.667 25.667 29.0 2 0 0 0
29 Arkansas 71.667 32.667 26.0 2 0 0 0
30 Utah 70.833 30.333 30.0 2 0 0 0
31 Alabama 69.500 32.000 31.0 1 0 0 0
32 Rutgers 69.000 30.000 34.0 1 0 0 0
33 Cincinnati 68.500 33.000 32.0 1 0 0 0
34 Florida St 68.167 32.667 33.0 1 0 0 0
35 South Carolina 67.500 34.000 33.0 0 0 0 0
36 UCLA 65.500 37.000 34.0 1 0 0 0
37 Wake Forest 65.333 36.333 35.0 0 0 0 0
38 Oklahoma St 65.000 34.000 38.0 1 0 0 0
39 Texas A&M 62.667 38.667 38.0 0 0 0 0
40 Hawaii 58.167 42.667 43.0 1 0 0 0
41 Maryland 57.167 43.667 44.0 0 0 0 0
42 Nebraska 56.333 47.333 42.0 0 0 0 0
43 Kentucky 56.000 45.000 45.0 0 0 0 0
44 Purdue 55.667 43.667 47.0 0 0 0 0
45 Virginia 54.500 49.000 44.0 0 0 0 0
46 Georgia Tech 53.167 52.667 43.0 0 0 0 0
47 Pittsburgh 52.500 48.000 49.0 0 0 0 0
48 Connecticut 52.333 47.333 50.0 0 0 0 0
49 Michigan St 51.000 49.000 51.0 0 0 0 0
50 Fresno St 50.500 52.000 49.0 0 0 0 0
51 Arizona 49.833 49.333 53.0 0 0 0 0
52 Miami FL 49.667 54.667 48.0 0 0 0 0
53 Tulsa 48.667 54.667 50.0 0 0 0 0
54 Iowa 48.333 52.333 53.0 0 0 0 0
55 Notre Dame 46.167 57.667 52.0 0 0 0 0
56 New Mexico 45.833 56.333 54.0 0 0 0 0
57 Kansas St 45.500 55.000 56.0 0 0 0 0
58 Washington 44.167 58.667 55.0 0 0 0 0
59 Colorado 42.833 57.333 59.0 0 0 0 0
60 Illinois 41.833 54.333 64.0 0 0 0 0
61 Washington St 41.833 58.333 60.0 0 0 0 0
62 Air Force 40.167 64.667 57.0 0 0 0 0
63 Houston 38.667 63.667 61.0 0 0 0 0
64 Vanderbilt 37.333 65.333 62.0 0 0 0 0
65 Mississippi St 36.167 62.667 67.0 0 0 0 0
66 Southern Miss 35.167 66.667 65.0 0 0 0 0
67 Navy 33.500 72.000 63.0 0 0 0 0
68 North Carolina 32.833 67.333 69.0 0 0 0 0
69 C Michigan 31.833 69.333 69.0 0 0 0 0
70 Troy 31.000 69.000 71.0 0 0 0 0
71 Nevada 30.500 70.000 71.0 0 0 0 0
72 NC State 30.333 69.333 72.0 0 0 0 0
73 UCF 29.667 72.667 70.0 0 0 0 0
74 Northwestern 29.333 70.333 73.0 0 0 0 0
75 East Carolina 28.833 71.333 73.0 0 0 0 0
76 Wyoming 24.833 75.333 77.0 0 0 0 0
77 Stanford 24.333 77.333 76.0 0 0 0 0
78 Indiana 24.167 76.667 77.0 0 0 0 0
79 Bowling Green 24.000 78.000 76.0 0 0 0 0
80 Ball St 23.000 77.000 79.0 0 0 0 0
81 Mississippi 23.000 78.000 78.0 0 0 0 0
82 Minnesota 21.667 78.667 80.0 0 0 0 0
83 W Michigan 21.000 79.000 81.0 0 0 0 0
84 FL Atlantic 16.000 85.000 85.0 0 0 0 0
85 Toledo 15.000 86.000 86.0 0 0 0 0
86 Iowa St 14.167 84.667 89.0 0 0 0 0
87 Miami OH 13.667 86.667 88.0 0 0 0 0
88 Colorado St 10.833 88.333 92.0 0 0 0 0
89 Middle Tenn St 10.833 90.333 90.0 0 0 0 0
90 Marshall 8.500 93.000 92.0 0 0 0 0
91 Memphis 8.500 92.000 93.0 0 0 0 0
92 ULM 7.500 93.000 94.0 0 0 0 0
93 San Diego St 6.000 95.000 95.0 0 0 0 0
94 Ohio 4.333 97.333 96.0 0 0 0 0
95 UTEP 3.333 100.333 95.0 0 0 0 0
96 UNLV 3.000 97.000 99.0 0 0 0 0
97 San Jose St 2.667 99.667 97.0 0 0 0 0
98 Baylor 2.667 98.667 98.0 0 0 0 0
99 N Illinois 2.667 97.667 99.0 0 0 0 0
100 Syracuse 1.500 98.000 101.0 0 0 0 0
101 W Kentucky -0.500 99.000 104.0 0 0 0 0
102 Akron -0.667 103.333 100.0 0 0 0 0
103 Rice -0.833 100.667 103.0 0 0 0 0
104 Arkansas St -1.333 102.667 102.0 0 0 0 0
105 Louisiana Tech -1.500 103.000 102.0 0 0 0 0
106 Duke -4.000 107.000 103.0 0 0 0 0
107 Tulane -4.833 105.667 106.0 0 0 0 0
108 ULL -5.500 106.000 107.0 0 0 0 0
109 UAB -5.500 108.000 105.0 0 0 0 0
110 Kent -6.833 103.667 112.0 0 0 0 0
111 New Mexico St -7.500 109.000 108.0 0 0 0 0
112 SMU -9.000 111.000 109.0 0 0 0 0
113 Buffalo -9.500 107.000 114.0 0 0 0 0
114 E Michigan -9.500 108.000 113.0 0 0 0 0
115 Army -10.333 112.667 110.0 0 0 0 0
116 Temple -14.167 113.333 117.0 0 0 0 0
117 Utah St -15.000 116.000 116.0 0 0 0 0
118 North Texas -17.000 118.000 118.0 0 0 0 0
119 Idaho -17.167 117.333 119.0 0 0 0 0
120 Florida Intl -18.333 118.667 120.0 0 0 0 0
The Superlist is compiled from excellent computer rating systems.
Retrodictive systems judge all games are treated equally through the
season and margins of victory are not included. Predictive means that
games are weighted toward the end of the season to reflect their
current strength instead of their average strength throughout the
season as retrodictive ones do. Predictive systems do consider margins
of victory. These are only general observations of retrodictive and
predictive systems. Individual systems may not fit this description
exactly.
rating = the fabricated points issued to each team according to the
Superlist formula. If a team wins the number one position in all
rating systems it will score 100. If a team wins all number two
positions it will score 99. With all number thirty positions a team
would score 71.
rating = 101 - 0.5*(average + median)
average = average ranking by the systems.
median = the middle point at which half the systems awarding the team
a position would show a higher position and half would award it a
lower one. For example, if there were three systems and a team had
positions 18, 24, and 25, the median position would be the middle one
- 24. If there are an even number of systems the two middle numbers
are averaged for the median. That moves one system above the median
and one system below the median unless both systems assign the team
the same position. Examples:
4, 5, 8, and 9 would yield a median of 6.5.
4, 6, 6, and 20 would become 6.
The systems included in the Superlist are:
Ken Ashby's AccuRatings
http://hometown.aol.com/kenashby/myhomepage/
Minimum Violations (MinV) College Football Ranking Data missing
http://www.unf.edu/~jcoleman/minv.htm
NCAA Division IA Football Power Ratings
http://www.jhowell.net/cf/cfindex.htm
Massey Ratings Data missing
http://www.masseyratings.com/rate.php?lg=cf&sub=IA&mid=6
F.A.C.T. Data missing
http://www.bol.ucla.edu/~prwolfe/cfootball/rothman.txt
Jeff Sagarin Computer Ratings
http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin.htm
David Wilson's Performance Ratings Data missing
http://homepages.cae.wisc.edu/~dwilson/byrate.html
2006 College Football Data missing
http://www.bol.ucla.edu/~prwolfe/cfootball/ratings.htm
The Sports Report Ranking System Data missing
http://home.bellsouth.net/p/s/community.dll?ep=16&groupid=276851&ck=
_________________________________________
The Superlist was conceived and formulated by Ray Waits of Nutshell Sports
Ratings and consultant Stewart Huckaby of ARGH Ratings. It is the
property
of Ray Waits and
David Wilson.
YourLinx Ratings can be found at:
http://www.nutshellsports.com/
Your comments are welcomed:
ray@ebarrelracing.com
_________________________________________
Feel free to distribute this to your friends. Better yet, tell them
where they can subscribe. They will receive sports ratings year round.
Sports pages you just can't miss:
David Wilson's American College Football - Rankings List
http://www.cae.wisc.edu/~dwilson/rsfc/rate/index.html
Everything you ever wanted to know about College Football
http://www.cae.wisc.edu/~dwilson/rsfc/
Kenneth Massey's College Football Ranking Comparison
http://masseyratings.com/cf/compare.htm
Kenneth Massey's College Basketball Ranking Comparison
http://masseyratings.com/cb/compare.htm
NFL and NCAA Football Prediction Trackers
http://tbeck.freeshell.org/
Jon Dokter's Players' Poll Proposal
http://mintaka.sdsu.edu/~dokter/sw/newpoll.html
Ray Wait's MegaRanking (BCS alternative)
http://www.nutshellsports.com/bcs.html
Know of another great sports page that should be listed here? Send it
to me at:
ray@ebarrelracing.com
