The Superlist
The Superlist
Sunday, November 1, 2009 (9 systems)
You can link to the Superlist or get permission to post it on your
site as soon as it is completed. A link to the Superlist page is
required.
The Superlist rankings are computed by David Wilson using the rankings
for the selected systems on Kenneth Massey's Ratings Comparison Page.
In the following list you will see all the 1-A teams as calculated by
the Superlist formula from this year's members. Each team's rating is
shown, followed by the average rank, followed by the median rank,
followed by the number of systems that put the team in the top thirty,
top ten, top five and top position.
If you wish to use the Superlist to guess the margin of victory of a
given game, subtract the lower team rating from the greater team
rating, then divide by two and add three points to the home team, if
any. That will give you an idea of the expected outcome based on past
performance. If you are a serious gambler, I would suggest you don't
confuse this system with a truly predictive one.
rank team rating average median top30 top10 top5 top1
1 Florida 98.833 2.333 2.0 9 9 8 2
2 Texas 96.944 4.111 4.0 9 9 6 3
3 Alabama 95.278 5.444 6.0 9 9 4 0
4 Oregon 95.278 5.444 6.0 9 9 4 0
5 Boise St 94.944 5.111 7.0 9 9 4 3
6 Cincinnati 94.833 7.333 5.0 9 7 6 0
7 TCU 94.722 6.556 6.0 9 8 4 0
8 Iowa 93.889 7.222 7.0 9 8 3 1
9 USC 91.500 9.000 10.0 9 5 1 0
10 LSU 90.333 11.333 10.0 9 5 0 0
11 Georgia Tech 89.389 12.222 11.0 9 4 0 0
12 Penn St 89.167 11.667 12.0 9 2 0 0
13 Pittsburgh 84.111 16.778 17.0 9 0 0 0
14 California 83.444 18.111 17.0 8 1 1 0
15 Arizona 82.833 20.333 16.0 7 0 0 0
16 Ohio St 82.389 17.222 20.0 9 1 1 0
17 Virginia Tech 81.722 19.556 19.0 9 0 0 0
18 Miami FL 81.333 21.333 18.0 7 0 0 0
19 Utah 80.167 23.667 18.0 8 0 0 0
20 Oklahoma St 79.611 21.778 21.0 8 0 0 0
21 Clemson 78.667 22.667 22.0 9 0 0 0
22 Oregon St 78.389 24.222 21.0 8 0 0 0
23 Houston 76.722 25.556 23.0 7 0 0 0
24 Wisconsin 76.444 27.111 22.0 6 0 0 0
25 Oklahoma 74.667 24.667 28.0 5 2 2 0
26 South Florida 74.611 28.778 24.0 7 0 0 0
27 Notre Dame 74.556 26.889 26.0 6 0 0 0
28 Texas Tech 74.111 28.778 25.0 5 1 1 0
29 BYU 71.000 30.000 30.0 6 0 0 0
30 Auburn 70.889 32.222 28.0 7 0 0 0
31 Tennessee 69.500 33.000 30.0 5 0 0 0
32 Boston College 69.389 31.222 32.0 4 0 0 0
33 West Virginia 67.611 34.778 32.0 2 0 0 0
34 Georgia 66.111 34.778 35.0 2 0 0 0
35 Stanford 65.722 36.556 34.0 1 0 0 0
36 Rutgers 64.444 37.111 36.0 1 0 0 0
37 Florida St 63.889 36.222 38.0 2 0 0 0
38 Arkansas 63.556 36.889 38.0 3 0 0 0
39 South Carolina 61.889 39.222 39.0 0 0 0 0
40 Mississippi 61.278 38.444 41.0 2 1 0 0
41 Fresno St 59.222 42.556 41.0 1 0 0 0
42 C Michigan 56.889 43.222 45.0 2 0 0 0
43 Minnesota 56.833 45.333 43.0 0 0 0 0
44 Mississippi St 56.500 45.000 44.0 0 0 0 0
45 Navy 55.389 43.222 48.0 1 0 0 0
46 Kentucky 55.278 45.444 46.0 1 0 0 0
47 Washington 55.167 47.667 44.0 2 0 0 0
48 Nebraska 55.056 43.889 48.0 2 0 0 0
49 North Carolina 54.333 46.333 47.0 0 0 0 0
50 Missouri 52.833 47.333 49.0 1 0 0 0
51 UCLA 49.944 50.111 52.0 0 0 0 0
52 Texas A&M 48.056 51.889 54.0 0 0 0 0
53 Michigan St 47.556 52.889 54.0 0 0 0 0
54 Air Force 47.278 53.444 54.0 0 0 0 0
55 Temple 46.611 55.778 53.0 0 0 0 0
56 Arizona St 46.389 55.222 54.0 0 0 0 0
57 Kansas 45.611 53.778 57.0 0 0 0 0
58 Connecticut 44.111 55.778 58.0 0 0 0 0
59 Duke 43.778 57.444 57.0 0 0 0 0
60 Troy 43.500 60.000 55.0 0 0 0 0
61 Wake Forest 41.222 59.556 60.0 0 0 0 0
62 Iowa St 41.000 61.000 59.0 0 0 0 0
63 Nevada 37.667 64.667 62.0 0 0 0 0
64 Idaho 37.611 62.778 64.0 0 0 0 0
65 Michigan 37.611 63.778 63.0 0 0 0 0
66 Virginia 36.167 63.667 66.0 0 0 0 0
67 Kansas St 35.111 64.778 67.0 0 0 0 0
68 East Carolina 33.611 67.778 67.0 0 0 0 0
69 Marshall 28.444 74.111 71.0 0 0 0 0
70 N Illinois 28.389 72.222 73.0 0 0 0 0
71 Purdue 28.167 73.667 72.0 0 0 0 0
72 NC State 27.667 74.667 72.0 0 0 0 0
73 SMU 27.389 73.222 74.0 0 0 0 0
74 Southern Miss 26.167 74.667 75.0 0 0 0 0
75 Northwestern 25.056 74.889 77.0 0 0 0 0
76 Middle Tenn St 23.833 79.333 75.0 0 0 0 0
77 Louisville 23.056 79.889 76.0 0 0 0 0
78 Baylor 22.556 76.889 80.0 0 0 0 0
79 Ohio 22.167 78.667 79.0 0 0 0 0
80 Syracuse 20.167 78.667 83.0 0 0 0 0
81 Bowling Green 19.611 80.778 82.0 0 0 0 0
82 UCF 19.167 82.667 81.0 0 0 0 0
83 Colorado St 18.222 83.556 82.0 0 0 0 0
84 San Diego St 18.000 83.000 83.0 0 0 0 0
85 Kent 17.667 83.667 83.0 0 0 0 0
86 Indiana 16.500 83.000 86.0 0 0 0 0
87 ULM 15.667 87.667 83.0 0 0 0 0
88 Wyoming 15.278 85.444 86.0 0 0 0 0
89 Maryland 12.833 89.333 87.0 0 0 0 0
90 Colorado 12.111 87.778 90.0 0 0 0 0
91 Tulsa 11.611 88.778 90.0 0 0 0 0
92 Illinois 11.444 88.111 91.0 0 0 0 0
93 UAB 9.333 92.333 91.0 0 0 0 0
94 Louisiana Tech 8.444 93.111 92.0 0 0 0 0
95 W Michigan 8.333 92.333 93.0 0 0 0 0
96 UNLV 4.611 95.778 97.0 0 0 0 0
97 UTEP 4.278 96.444 97.0 0 0 0 0
98 Buffalo 4.167 96.667 97.0 0 0 0 0
99 San Jose St 2.722 96.556 100.0 0 0 0 0
100 Utah St 2.111 97.778 100.0 0 0 0 0
101 Arkansas St 1.944 99.111 99.0 0 0 0 0
102 Toledo 1.778 98.444 100.0 0 0 0 0
103 FL Atlantic -1.944 102.889 103.0 0 0 0 0
104 Vanderbilt -2.278 101.556 105.0 0 0 0 0
105 Hawaii -3.556 103.111 106.0 0 0 0 0
106 Washington St -4.056 103.111 107.0 0 0 0 0
107 Army -5.889 106.778 107.0 0 0 0 0
108 ULL -6.778 107.556 108.0 0 0 0 0
109 Memphis -7.722 108.444 109.0 0 0 0 0
110 Miami OH -8.000 108.000 110.0 0 0 0 0
111 Florida Intl -8.278 108.556 110.0 0 0 0 0
112 Tulane -9.722 110.444 111.0 0 0 0 0
113 New Mexico St -11.278 111.556 113.0 0 0 0 0
114 Akron -12.556 113.111 114.0 0 0 0 0
115 North Texas -12.889 113.778 114.0 0 0 0 0
116 Ball St -13.667 113.333 116.0 0 0 0 0
117 New Mexico -15.056 116.111 116.0 0 0 0 0
118 E Michigan -16.500 117.000 118.0 0 0 0 0
119 Rice -16.667 117.333 118.0 0 0 0 0
120 W Kentucky -18.889 119.778 120.0 0 0 0 0
The Superlist is compiled from excellent computer rating systems.
Retrodictive systems judge all games are treated equally through the
season and margins of victory are not included. Predictive means that
games are weighted toward the end of the season to reflect their
current strength instead of their average strength throughout the
season as retrodictive ones do. Predictive systems do consider margins
of victory. These are only general observations of retrodictive and
predictive systems. Individual systems may not fit this description
exactly.
rating = the fabricated points issued to each team according to the
Superlist formula. If a team wins the number one position in all
rating systems it will score 100. If a team wins all number two
positions it will score 99. With all number thirty positions a team
would score 71.
rating = 101 - 0.5*(average + median)
average = average ranking by the systems.
median = the middle point at which half the systems awarding the team
a position would show a higher position and half would award it a
lower one. For example, if there were three systems and a team had
positions 18, 24, and 25, the median position would be the middle one
- 24. If there are an even number of systems the two middle numbers
are averaged for the median. That moves one system above the median
and one system below the median unless both systems assign the team
the same position. Examples:
4, 5, 8, and 9 would yield a median of 6.5.
4, 6, 6, and 20 would become 6.
The systems included in the Superlist are:
Minimum Violations (MinV) College Football Ranking
http://www.unf.edu/~jcoleman/minv.htm
Jeff Sagarin's ELO Ratings
http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt09.htm
NCAA Division IA Football Power Ratings
http://www.jhowell.net/cf/cfindex.htm
The Dr. Edward Kambour NCAA Football Ratings
http://www.kambour.net/football.html
Massey Ratings
http://www.masseyratings.com/rate.php?lg=cf&sub=IA&mid=6
F.A.C.T.
http://prwolfe.bol.ucla.edu/cfootball/rothman.txt
Nutshell Sports
http://www.nutshellsports.com/ncaafb.html
David Wilson's Performance Ratings
http://homepages.cae.wisc.edu/~dwilson/byrate.html
2009 College Football
http://prwolfe.bol.ucla.edu/cfootball/home.htm
_________________________________________
The Superlist was conceived and formulated by Ray Waits of Nutshell Sports
Ratings and consultant Stewart Huckaby of ARGH Ratings. It is the
property
of Ray Waits and
David Wilson.
YourLinx Ratings can be found at:
http://www.nutshellsports.com/
Your comments are welcomed:
ray@ebarrelracing.com
_________________________________________
Feel free to distribute this to your friends. Better yet, tell them
where they can subscribe. They will receive sports ratings year round.
Sports pages you just can't miss:
David Wilson's American College Football - Rankings List
http://www.cae.wisc.edu/~dwilson/rsfc/rate/index.html
Everything you ever wanted to know about College Football
http://www.cae.wisc.edu/~dwilson/rsfc/
Kenneth Massey's College Football Ranking Comparison
http://masseyratings.com/cf/compare.htm
Kenneth Massey's College Basketball Ranking Comparison
http://masseyratings.com/cb/compare.htm
NFL and NCAA Football Prediction Trackers
http://tbeck.freeshell.org/
Jon Dokter's Players' Poll Proposal
http://mintaka.sdsu.edu/~dokter/sw/newpoll.html
Ray Wait's MegaRanking (BCS alternative)
http://www.nutshellsports.com/bcs.html
Know of another great sports page that should be listed here? Send it
to me at:
ray@ebarrelracing.com
