The Superlist
The Superlist
Monday, January 7, 2008 (9 systems)
You can link to the Superlist or get permission to post it on your
site as soon as it is completed. A link to the Superlist page is
required.
The Superlist rankings are computed by David Wilson using the rankings
for the selected systems on Kenneth Massey's Ratings Comparison Page.
In the following list you will see all the 1-A teams as calculated by
the Superlist formula from this year's members. Each team's rating is
shown, followed by the average rank, followed by the median rank,
followed by the number of systems that put the team in the top thirty,
top ten, top five and top position.
If you wish to use the Superlist to guess the margin of victory of a
given game, subtract the lower team rating from the greater team
rating, then divide by two and add three points to the home team, if
any. That will give you an idea of the expected outcome based on past
performance. If you are a serious gambler, I would suggest you don't
confuse this system with a truly predictive one.
rank team rating average median top30 top10 top5 top1
1 LSU 99.667 1.667 1.0 9 9 9 7
2 Kansas 97.889 3.222 3.0 9 9 8 0
3 Missouri 97.722 3.556 3.0 9 9 8 0
4 West Virginia 96.889 4.222 4.0 9 9 7 1
5 USC 96.000 5.000 5.0 9 9 5 1
6 Georgia 95.056 6.889 5.0 9 8 5 0
7 Ohio St 93.722 7.556 7.0 9 8 0 0
8 Oklahoma 93.333 7.333 8.0 9 9 2 0
9 Virginia Tech 92.333 8.333 9.0 9 8 1 0
10 Florida 89.556 11.889 11.0 9 4 0 0
11 Oregon 89.278 11.444 12.0 9 3 0 0
12 Tennessee 86.722 13.556 15.0 9 3 0 0
13 Arizona St 86.000 15.000 15.0 9 1 0 0
14 Auburn 85.444 17.111 14.0 8 1 0 0
15 Texas 84.389 16.222 17.0 9 0 0 0
16 BYU 83.611 18.778 16.0 8 0 0 0
17 Boston College 83.611 18.778 16.0 8 0 0 0
18 Oregon St 83.278 17.444 18.0 9 0 0 0
19 Cincinnati 83.056 18.889 17.0 9 0 0 0
20 Michigan 80.556 19.889 21.0 9 1 0 0
21 South Florida 79.444 23.111 20.0 8 0 0 0
22 Clemson 78.667 22.667 22.0 8 0 0 0
23 Kentucky 77.778 23.444 23.0 8 0 0 0
24 Illinois 77.444 23.111 24.0 9 0 0 0
25 Hawaii 76.389 26.222 23.0 7 0 0 0
26 Penn St 75.444 25.111 26.0 9 0 0 0
27 Arkansas 74.722 27.556 25.0 7 0 0 0
28 Texas Tech 73.611 27.778 27.0 7 0 0 0
29 Wake Forest 73.389 27.222 28.0 8 0 0 0
30 Mississippi St 71.778 29.444 29.0 5 0 0 0
31 Wisconsin 68.111 32.778 33.0 2 0 0 0
32 California 67.389 33.222 34.0 2 0 0 0
33 South Carolina 67.056 35.889 32.0 2 0 0 0
34 Virginia 66.667 34.667 34.0 1 0 0 0
35 Connecticut 66.611 34.778 34.0 0 0 0 0
36 Utah 66.111 35.778 34.0 4 0 0 0
37 Oklahoma St 64.722 34.556 38.0 2 0 0 0
38 Alabama 64.278 38.444 35.0 0 0 0 0
39 Texas A&M 61.556 38.889 40.0 1 0 0 0
40 Florida St 61.500 39.000 40.0 0 0 0 0
41 UCLA 60.056 42.889 39.0 0 0 0 0
42 UCF 57.556 42.889 44.0 0 0 0 0
43 Rutgers 57.333 43.333 44.0 0 0 0 0
44 Troy 54.500 45.000 48.0 1 0 0 0
45 Michigan St 54.167 46.667 47.0 0 0 0 0
46 Air Force 54.000 46.000 48.0 0 0 0 0
47 Fresno St 51.556 48.889 50.0 0 0 0 0
48 TCU 51.111 50.778 49.0 0 0 0 0
49 Maryland 50.556 49.889 51.0 0 0 0 0
50 Arizona 49.722 50.556 52.0 0 0 0 0
51 Purdue 49.278 51.444 52.0 0 0 0 0
52 Boise St 49.111 51.778 52.0 1 0 0 0
53 Louisville 48.500 52.000 53.0 0 0 0 0
54 Vanderbilt 47.278 54.444 53.0 0 0 0 0
55 Georgia Tech 46.167 54.667 55.0 0 0 0 0
56 Colorado 46.056 54.889 55.0 0 0 0 0
57 Nebraska 45.722 53.556 57.0 1 0 0 0
58 New Mexico 45.111 54.778 57.0 0 0 0 0
59 Tulsa 43.944 55.111 59.0 0 0 0 0
60 Washington St 42.500 59.000 58.0 0 0 0 0
61 Washington 39.889 61.222 61.0 0 0 0 0
62 Kansas St 39.278 60.444 63.0 0 0 0 0
63 East Carolina 38.833 62.333 62.0 0 0 0 0
64 Indiana 37.111 62.778 65.0 0 0 0 0
65 FL Atlantic 35.278 66.444 65.0 0 0 0 0
66 NC State 35.167 66.667 65.0 0 0 0 0
67 Pittsburgh 34.556 65.889 67.0 0 0 0 0
68 Navy 34.056 66.889 67.0 0 0 0 0
69 Stanford 30.389 71.222 70.0 0 0 0 0
70 Miami FL 29.556 71.889 71.0 0 0 0 0
71 Iowa 29.167 71.667 72.0 0 0 0 0
72 C Michigan 29.000 71.000 73.0 0 0 0 0
73 North Carolina 28.778 73.444 71.0 0 0 0 0
74 Ball St 27.167 72.667 75.0 0 0 0 0
75 Northwestern 25.667 75.667 75.0 0 0 0 0
76 Mississippi 25.000 76.000 76.0 0 0 0 0
77 Houston 24.056 75.889 78.0 0 0 0 0
78 Notre Dame 23.667 78.667 76.0 0 0 0 0
79 LA Monroe 22.667 76.667 80.0 0 0 0 0
80 Southern Miss 22.167 78.667 79.0 0 0 0 0
81 Bowling Green 22.056 77.889 80.0 0 0 0 0
82 Wyoming 21.833 80.333 78.0 0 0 0 0
83 Iowa St 18.833 81.333 83.0 0 0 0 0
84 San Diego St 18.222 83.556 82.0 0 0 0 0
85 Nevada 14.778 86.444 86.0 0 0 0 0
86 Middle Tenn St 14.611 86.778 86.0 0 0 0 0
87 Miami OH 14.444 85.111 88.0 0 0 0 0
88 Colorado St 12.333 90.333 87.0 0 0 0 0
89 W Michigan 12.167 89.667 88.0 0 0 0 0
90 Louisiana Tech 10.556 90.889 90.0 0 0 0 0
91 San Jose St 8.389 93.222 92.0 0 0 0 0
92 Syracuse 8.222 93.556 92.0 0 0 0 0
93 W Kentucky 8.111 92.778 93.0 0 0 0 0
94 Memphis 7.111 93.778 94.0 0 0 0 0
95 Baylor 7.056 93.889 94.0 0 0 0 0
96 Ohio 6.889 94.222 94.0 0 0 0 0
97 Buffalo 6.833 94.333 94.0 0 0 0 0
98 Arkansas St 4.722 95.556 97.0 0 0 0 0
99 Toledo 2.167 98.667 99.0 0 0 0 0
100 Duke 2.167 98.667 99.0 0 0 0 0
101 Marshall -0.667 101.333 102.0 0 0 0 0
102 E Michigan -1.278 102.556 102.0 0 0 0 0
103 Akron -1.389 101.778 103.0 0 0 0 0
104 UNLV -1.389 102.778 102.0 0 0 0 0
105 Minnesota -4.667 104.333 107.0 0 0 0 0
106 Army -4.778 105.556 106.0 0 0 0 0
107 UTEP -5.611 106.222 107.0 0 0 0 0
108 Temple -6.444 106.889 108.0 0 0 0 0
109 LA Lafayette -6.944 107.889 108.0 0 0 0 0
110 Tulane -9.056 109.111 111.0 0 0 0 0
111 Kent -9.389 110.778 110.0 0 0 0 0
112 New Mexico St -10.667 111.333 112.0 0 0 0 0
113 Utah St -11.111 112.222 112.0 0 0 0 0
114 Rice -11.778 112.556 113.0 0 0 0 0
115 UAB -13.722 114.444 115.0 0 0 0 0
116 N Illinois -14.667 115.333 116.0 0 0 0 0
117 North Texas -15.833 116.667 117.0 0 0 0 0
118 Florida Intl -17.056 118.111 118.0 0 0 0 0
119 SMU -17.667 118.333 119.0 0 0 0 0
120 Idaho -18.833 119.667 120.0 0 0 0 0
The Superlist is compiled from excellent computer rating systems.
Retrodictive systems judge all games are treated equally through the
season and margins of victory are not included. Predictive means that
games are weighted toward the end of the season to reflect their
current strength instead of their average strength throughout the
season as retrodictive ones do. Predictive systems do consider margins
of victory. These are only general observations of retrodictive and
predictive systems. Individual systems may not fit this description
exactly.
rating = the fabricated points issued to each team according to the
Superlist formula. If a team wins the number one position in all
rating systems it will score 100. If a team wins all number two
positions it will score 99. With all number thirty positions a team
would score 71.
rating = 101 - 0.5*(average + median)
average = average ranking by the systems.
median = the middle point at which half the systems awarding the team
a position would show a higher position and half would award it a
lower one. For example, if there were three systems and a team had
positions 18, 24, and 25, the median position would be the middle one
- 24. If there are an even number of systems the two middle numbers
are averaged for the median. That moves one system above the median
and one system below the median unless both systems assign the team
the same position. Examples:
4, 5, 8, and 9 would yield a median of 6.5.
4, 6, 6, and 20 would become 6.
The systems included in the Superlist are:
Ken Ashby's AccuRatings
http://hometown.aol.com/kenashby/myhomepage/
Minimum Violations (MinV) College Football Ranking
http://www.unf.edu/~jcoleman/minv.htm
NCAA Division IA Football Power Ratings
http://www.jhowell.net/cf/cfindex.htm
Massey Ratings
http://www.masseyratings.com/rate.php?lg=cf&sub=IA&mid=6
F.A.C.T.
http://www.bol.ucla.edu/~prwolfe/cfootball/rothman.txt
Jeff Sagarin Computer Ratings
http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin.htm
David Wilson's Performance Ratings
http://homepages.cae.wisc.edu/~dwilson/byrate.html
2006 College Football
http://www.bol.ucla.edu/~prwolfe/cfootball/ratings.htm
The Sports Report Ranking System
http://home.bellsouth.net/p/s/community.dll?ep=16&groupid=276851&ck=
_________________________________________
The Superlist was conceived and formulated by Ray Waits of Nutshell Sports
Ratings and consultant Stewart Huckaby of ARGH Ratings. It is the
property
of Ray Waits and
David Wilson.
YourLinx Ratings can be found at:
http://www.nutshellsports.com/
Your comments are welcomed:
ray@ebarrelracing.com
_________________________________________
Feel free to distribute this to your friends. Better yet, tell them
where they can subscribe. They will receive sports ratings year round.
Sports pages you just can't miss:
David Wilson's American College Football - Rankings List
http://www.cae.wisc.edu/~dwilson/rsfc/rate/index.html
Everything you ever wanted to know about College Football
http://www.cae.wisc.edu/~dwilson/rsfc/
Kenneth Massey's College Football Ranking Comparison
http://masseyratings.com/cf/compare.htm
Kenneth Massey's College Basketball Ranking Comparison
http://masseyratings.com/cb/compare.htm
NFL and NCAA Football Prediction Trackers
http://tbeck.freeshell.org/
Jon Dokter's Players' Poll Proposal
http://mintaka.sdsu.edu/~dokter/sw/newpoll.html
Ray Wait's MegaRanking (BCS alternative)
http://www.nutshellsports.com/bcs.html
Know of another great sports page that should be listed here? Send it
to me at:
ray@ebarrelracing.com
