The Superlist
The Superlist
Thursday, January 7, 2010 (9 systems)
You can link to the Superlist or get permission to post it on your
site as soon as it is completed. A link to the Superlist page is
required.
The Superlist rankings are computed by David Wilson using the rankings
for the selected systems on Kenneth Massey's Ratings Comparison Page.
In the following list you will see all the 1-A teams as calculated by
the Superlist formula from this year's members. Each team's rating is
shown, followed by the average rank, followed by the median rank,
followed by the number of systems that put the team in the top thirty,
top ten, top five and top position.
If you wish to use the Superlist to guess the margin of victory of a
given game, subtract the lower team rating from the greater team
rating, then divide by two and add three points to the home team, if
any. That will give you an idea of the expected outcome based on past
performance. If you are a serious gambler, I would suggest you don't
confuse this system with a truly predictive one.
rank team rating average median top30 top10 top5 top1
1 Alabama 99.944 1.111 1.0 9 9 9 8
2 Florida 98.722 2.556 2.0 9 9 9 0
3 Texas 97.833 3.333 3.0 9 9 9 0
4 Boise St 97.111 4.778 3.0 9 8 7 1
5 TCU 96.056 4.889 5.0 9 9 7 0
6 Ohio St 93.444 7.111 8.0 9 9 1 0
7 Cincinnati 92.333 10.333 7.0 9 7 1 0
8 Virginia Tech 91.556 9.889 9.0 9 5 1 0
9 Iowa 90.944 11.111 9.0 9 6 0 0
10 Penn St 90.778 10.444 10.0 9 6 0 0
11 Oregon 90.167 10.667 11.0 9 3 0 0
12 LSU 88.111 12.778 13.0 9 1 0 0
13 Georgia Tech 87.833 13.333 13.0 9 1 0 0
14 BYU 85.444 16.111 15.0 8 3 0 0
15 Pittsburgh 84.611 16.778 16.0 9 0 0 0
16 Arkansas 84.056 16.889 17.0 8 1 0 0
17 Mississippi 81.389 21.222 18.0 8 0 0 0
18 Nebraska 80.611 18.778 22.0 9 1 0 0
19 USC 79.611 22.778 20.0 8 0 0 0
20 Oklahoma 78.556 21.889 23.0 8 1 1 0
21 Georgia 78.444 22.111 23.0 9 0 0 0
22 Miami FL 78.222 22.556 23.0 9 0 0 0
23 Clemson 77.389 24.222 23.0 9 0 0 0
24 Wisconsin 76.611 24.778 24.0 7 0 0 0
25 Auburn 75.778 26.444 24.0 7 0 0 0
26 Utah 75.722 25.556 25.0 6 0 0 0
27 Texas Tech 73.667 25.667 29.0 6 1 0 0
28 West Virginia 72.111 28.778 29.0 6 0 0 0
29 Connecticut 70.556 29.889 31.0 4 0 0 0
30 Oregon St 70.444 31.111 30.0 5 0 0 0
31 Florida St 69.667 32.667 30.0 5 0 0 0
32 North Carolina 68.833 31.333 33.0 3 0 0 0
33 Arizona 68.833 33.333 31.0 0 0 0 0
34 Oklahoma St 68.778 32.444 32.0 3 0 0 0
35 Stanford 65.722 33.556 37.0 3 1 0 0
36 Rutgers 65.667 34.667 36.0 1 0 0 0
37 Tennessee 64.944 36.111 36.0 2 0 0 0
38 C Michigan 64.889 37.222 35.0 2 0 0 0
39 Navy 61.333 40.333 39.0 0 0 0 0
40 South Carolina 61.333 39.333 40.0 1 0 0 0
41 Air Force 59.500 42.000 41.0 1 0 0 0
42 California 58.778 43.444 41.0 0 0 0 0
43 South Florida 57.833 44.333 42.0 0 0 0 0
44 Mississippi St 57.278 43.444 44.0 1 0 0 0
45 Kentucky 57.222 44.556 43.0 1 0 0 0
46 East Carolina 56.611 43.778 45.0 1 0 0 0
47 Boston College 56.556 43.889 45.0 0 0 0 0
48 UCLA 54.889 47.222 45.0 0 0 0 0
49 Houston 52.278 47.444 50.0 1 0 0 0
50 Notre Dame 50.944 50.111 50.0 0 0 0 0
51 Missouri 50.722 49.556 51.0 1 0 0 0
52 Washington 45.889 54.222 56.0 0 0 0 0
53 Michigan St 44.667 55.667 57.0 0 0 0 0
54 Northwestern 44.556 57.889 55.0 0 0 0 0
55 Texas A&M 42.056 58.889 59.0 0 0 0 0
56 Middle Tenn St 41.833 60.333 58.0 0 0 0 0
57 Fresno St 41.111 60.778 59.0 0 0 0 0
58 Minnesota 41.111 59.778 60.0 0 0 0 0
59 Wake Forest 41.111 59.778 60.0 0 0 0 0
60 UCF 40.944 58.111 62.0 1 0 0 0
61 Iowa St 40.389 60.222 61.0 0 0 0 0
62 Nevada 38.278 62.444 63.0 0 0 0 0
63 Troy 36.444 65.111 64.0 0 0 0 0
64 SMU 35.389 64.222 67.0 0 0 0 0
65 Temple 34.000 67.000 67.0 0 0 0 0
66 Kansas St 33.778 66.444 68.0 0 0 0 0
67 Arizona St 32.389 67.222 70.0 0 0 0 0
68 Wyoming 31.889 67.222 71.0 0 0 0 0
69 Kansas 31.333 67.333 72.0 0 0 0 0
70 Purdue 31.000 71.000 69.0 0 0 0 0
71 NC State 29.778 72.444 70.0 0 0 0 0
72 Baylor 29.667 71.667 71.0 0 0 0 0
73 Marshall 29.222 72.556 71.0 0 0 0 0
74 Southern Miss 27.722 73.556 73.0 0 0 0 0
75 Idaho 26.611 74.778 74.0 0 0 0 0
76 Ohio 26.056 72.889 77.0 0 0 0 0
77 Duke 25.444 74.111 77.0 0 0 0 0
78 Bowling Green 23.778 78.444 76.0 0 0 0 0
79 Syracuse 23.444 77.111 78.0 0 0 0 0
80 Louisville 23.278 78.444 77.0 0 0 0 0
81 Virginia 21.833 78.333 80.0 0 0 0 0
82 Michigan 21.611 79.778 79.0 0 0 0 0
83 Colorado 18.333 80.333 85.0 0 0 0 0
84 UNLV 16.333 84.333 85.0 0 0 0 0
85 Louisiana Tech 15.500 83.000 88.0 0 0 0 0
86 UAB 15.444 86.111 85.0 0 0 0 0
87 N Illinois 15.389 85.222 86.0 0 0 0 0
88 Illinois 14.389 86.222 87.0 0 0 0 0
89 Indiana 13.056 86.889 89.0 0 0 0 0
90 Hawaii 12.333 88.333 89.0 0 0 0 0
91 Utah St 10.778 89.444 91.0 0 0 0 0
92 Maryland 10.056 90.889 91.0 0 0 0 0
93 Tulsa 9.500 90.000 93.0 0 0 0 0
94 San Diego St 7.611 92.778 94.0 0 0 0 0
95 Vanderbilt 7.556 91.889 95.0 0 0 0 0
96 Buffalo 6.611 93.778 95.0 0 0 0 0
97 ULM 4.000 96.000 98.0 0 0 0 0
98 FL Atlantic 2.278 98.444 99.0 0 0 0 0
99 Colorado St 1.889 100.222 98.0 0 0 0 0
100 UTEP 0.389 101.222 100.0 0 0 0 0
101 Kent -0.333 101.667 101.0 0 0 0 0
102 ULL -0.611 101.222 102.0 0 0 0 0
103 Toledo -2.556 103.111 104.0 0 0 0 0
104 Army -2.944 102.889 105.0 0 0 0 0
105 W Michigan -3.833 104.667 105.0 0 0 0 0
106 Memphis -6.389 106.778 108.0 0 0 0 0
107 Tulane -7.444 108.889 108.0 0 0 0 0
108 Arkansas St -7.667 108.333 109.0 0 0 0 0
109 Akron -10.000 110.000 112.0 0 0 0 0
110 Rice -10.056 111.111 111.0 0 0 0 0
111 Florida Intl -10.389 110.778 112.0 0 0 0 0
112 Washington St -10.444 108.889 114.0 0 0 0 0
113 San Jose St -10.722 111.444 112.0 0 0 0 0
114 New Mexico -11.556 112.111 113.0 0 0 0 0
115 Ball St -13.111 112.222 116.0 0 0 0 0
116 New Mexico St -13.111 113.222 115.0 0 0 0 0
117 Miami OH -13.500 113.000 116.0 0 0 0 0
118 North Texas -15.500 115.000 118.0 0 0 0 0
119 E Michigan -18.056 119.111 119.0 0 0 0 0
120 W Kentucky -18.556 119.111 120.0 0 0 0 0
The Superlist is compiled from excellent computer rating systems.
Retrodictive systems judge all games are treated equally through the
season and margins of victory are not included. Predictive means that
games are weighted toward the end of the season to reflect their
current strength instead of their average strength throughout the
season as retrodictive ones do. Predictive systems do consider margins
of victory. These are only general observations of retrodictive and
predictive systems. Individual systems may not fit this description
exactly.
rating = the fabricated points issued to each team according to the
Superlist formula. If a team wins the number one position in all
rating systems it will score 100. If a team wins all number two
positions it will score 99. With all number thirty positions a team
would score 71.
rating = 101 - 0.5*(average + median)
average = average ranking by the systems.
median = the middle point at which half the systems awarding the team
a position would show a higher position and half would award it a
lower one. For example, if there were three systems and a team had
positions 18, 24, and 25, the median position would be the middle one
- 24. If there are an even number of systems the two middle numbers
are averaged for the median. That moves one system above the median
and one system below the median unless both systems assign the team
the same position. Examples:
4, 5, 8, and 9 would yield a median of 6.5.
4, 6, 6, and 20 would become 6.
The systems included in the Superlist are:
Minimum Violations (MinV) College Football Ranking
http://www.unf.edu/~jcoleman/minv.htm
Jeff Sagarin's ELO Ratings
http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt09.htm
NCAA Division IA Football Power Ratings
http://www.jhowell.net/cf/cfindex.htm
The Dr. Edward Kambour NCAA Football Ratings
http://www.kambour.net/football.html
Massey Ratings
http://www.masseyratings.com/rate.php?lg=cf&sub=IA&mid=6
F.A.C.T.
http://prwolfe.bol.ucla.edu/cfootball/rothman.txt
Nutshell Sports
http://www.nutshellsports.com/ncaafb.html
David Wilson's Performance Ratings
http://homepages.cae.wisc.edu/~dwilson/byrate.html
2009 College Football
http://prwolfe.bol.ucla.edu/cfootball/home.htm
_________________________________________
The Superlist was conceived and formulated by Ray Waits of Nutshell Sports
Ratings and consultant Stewart Huckaby of ARGH Ratings. It is the
property
of Ray Waits and
David Wilson.
YourLinx Ratings can be found at:
http://www.nutshellsports.com/
Your comments are welcomed:
ray@ebarrelracing.com
_________________________________________
Feel free to distribute this to your friends. Better yet, tell them
where they can subscribe. They will receive sports ratings year round.
Sports pages you just can't miss:
David Wilson's American College Football - Rankings List
http://www.cae.wisc.edu/~dwilson/rsfc/rate/index.html
Everything you ever wanted to know about College Football
http://www.cae.wisc.edu/~dwilson/rsfc/
Kenneth Massey's College Football Ranking Comparison
http://masseyratings.com/cf/compare.htm
Kenneth Massey's College Basketball Ranking Comparison
http://masseyratings.com/cb/compare.htm
NFL and NCAA Football Prediction Trackers
http://tbeck.freeshell.org/
Jon Dokter's Players' Poll Proposal
http://mintaka.sdsu.edu/~dokter/sw/newpoll.html
Ray Wait's MegaRanking (BCS alternative)
http://www.nutshellsports.com/bcs.html
Know of another great sports page that should be listed here? Send it
to me at:
ray@ebarrelracing.com
