The Superlist
The Superlist
Saturday, November 21, 2009 (1 systems)
You can link to the Superlist or get permission to post it on your
site as soon as it is completed. A link to the Superlist page is
required.
The Superlist rankings are computed by David Wilson using the rankings
for the selected systems on Kenneth Massey's Ratings Comparison Page.
In the following list you will see all the 1-A teams as calculated by
the Superlist formula from this year's members. Each team's rating is
shown, followed by the average rank, followed by the median rank,
followed by the number of systems that put the team in the top thirty,
top ten, top five and top position.
If you wish to use the Superlist to guess the margin of victory of a
given game, subtract the lower team rating from the greater team
rating, then divide by two and add three points to the home team, if
any. That will give you an idea of the expected outcome based on past
performance. If you are a serious gambler, I would suggest you don't
confuse this system with a truly predictive one.
rank team rating average median top30 top10 top5 top1
1 Boise St 100.000 1.000 1.0 1 1 1 1
2 Texas 99.000 2.000 2.0 1 1 1 0
3 Alabama 98.000 3.000 3.0 1 1 1 0
4 Oregon 97.000 4.000 4.0 1 1 1 0
5 TCU 96.000 5.000 5.0 1 1 1 0
6 Florida 95.000 6.000 6.0 1 1 0 0
7 Georgia Tech 94.000 7.000 7.0 1 1 0 0
8 Cincinnati 94.000 7.000 7.0 1 1 0 0
9 Clemson 92.000 9.000 9.0 1 1 0 0
10 Pittsburgh 91.000 10.000 10.0 1 1 0 0
11 USC 90.000 11.000 11.0 1 0 0 0
12 Ohio St 89.000 12.000 12.0 1 0 0 0
13 Oregon St 89.000 12.000 12.0 1 0 0 0
14 California 87.000 14.000 14.0 1 0 0 0
15 Iowa 86.000 15.000 15.0 1 0 0 0
16 Penn St 85.000 16.000 16.0 1 0 0 0
17 Arizona 85.000 16.000 16.0 1 0 0 0
18 North Carolina 83.000 18.000 18.0 1 0 0 0
19 Virginia Tech 82.000 19.000 19.0 1 0 0 0
20 Houston 81.000 20.000 20.0 1 0 0 0
21 Oklahoma St 80.000 21.000 21.0 1 0 0 0
22 Texas Tech 79.000 22.000 22.0 1 0 0 0
23 Nebraska 78.000 23.000 23.0 1 0 0 0
24 Miami FL 77.000 24.000 24.0 1 0 0 0
25 Stanford 76.000 25.000 25.0 1 0 0 0
26 Rutgers 75.000 26.000 26.0 1 0 0 0
27 UCLA 74.000 27.000 27.0 1 0 0 0
28 Mississippi 73.000 28.000 28.0 1 0 0 0
29 LSU 72.000 29.000 29.0 1 0 0 0
30 Kentucky 71.000 30.000 30.0 1 0 0 0
31 Tennessee 71.000 30.000 30.0 1 0 0 0
32 Georgia 69.000 32.000 32.0 0 0 0 0
33 Arkansas 68.000 33.000 33.0 0 0 0 0
34 Auburn 67.000 34.000 34.0 0 0 0 0
35 South Florida 67.000 34.000 34.0 0 0 0 0
36 West Virginia 65.000 36.000 36.0 0 0 0 0
37 Connecticut 64.000 37.000 37.0 0 0 0 0
38 Temple 63.000 38.000 38.0 0 0 0 0
39 Navy 62.000 39.000 39.0 0 0 0 0
40 Missouri 61.000 40.000 40.0 0 0 0 0
41 Notre Dame 61.000 40.000 40.0 0 0 0 0
42 Boston College 59.000 42.000 42.0 0 0 0 0
43 Nevada 59.000 42.000 42.0 0 0 0 0
44 Florida St 57.000 44.000 44.0 0 0 0 0
45 BYU 56.000 45.000 45.0 0 0 0 0
46 Oklahoma 55.000 46.000 46.0 0 0 0 0
47 Wisconsin 54.000 47.000 47.0 0 0 0 0
48 Mississippi St 53.000 48.000 48.0 0 0 0 0
49 South Carolina 52.000 49.000 49.0 0 0 0 0
50 Arizona St 51.000 50.000 50.0 0 0 0 0
51 Utah 50.000 51.000 51.0 0 0 0 0
52 C Michigan 49.000 52.000 52.0 0 0 0 0
53 Fresno St 48.000 53.000 53.0 0 0 0 0
54 Minnesota 48.000 53.000 53.0 0 0 0 0
55 Michigan St 46.000 55.000 55.0 0 0 0 0
56 Washington 45.000 56.000 56.0 0 0 0 0
57 East Carolina 44.000 57.000 57.0 0 0 0 0
58 Kansas St 43.000 58.000 58.0 0 0 0 0
59 Texas A&M 42.000 59.000 59.0 0 0 0 0
60 Kansas 42.000 59.000 59.0 0 0 0 0
61 Louisville 42.000 59.000 59.0 0 0 0 0
62 Southern Miss 39.000 62.000 62.0 0 0 0 0
63 Iowa St 39.000 62.000 62.0 0 0 0 0
64 Duke 39.000 62.000 62.0 0 0 0 0
65 Air Force 36.000 65.000 65.0 0 0 0 0
66 Virginia 36.000 65.000 65.0 0 0 0 0
67 Baylor 36.000 65.000 65.0 0 0 0 0
68 Wake Forest 33.000 68.000 68.0 0 0 0 0
69 Syracuse 32.000 69.000 69.0 0 0 0 0
70 Northwestern 31.000 70.000 70.0 0 0 0 0
71 Kent 30.000 71.000 71.0 0 0 0 0
72 Idaho 29.000 72.000 72.0 0 0 0 0
73 Ohio 29.000 72.000 72.0 0 0 0 0
74 N Illinois 27.000 74.000 74.0 0 0 0 0
75 Purdue 26.000 75.000 75.0 0 0 0 0
76 Indiana 25.000 76.000 76.0 0 0 0 0
77 Illinois 24.000 77.000 77.0 0 0 0 0
78 Michigan 23.000 78.000 78.0 0 0 0 0
79 UCF 22.000 79.000 79.0 0 0 0 0
80 NC State 22.000 79.000 79.0 0 0 0 0
81 Louisiana Tech 20.000 81.000 81.0 0 0 0 0
82 Marshall 19.000 82.000 82.0 0 0 0 0
83 Bowling Green 18.000 83.000 83.0 0 0 0 0
84 Troy 17.000 84.000 84.0 0 0 0 0
85 Middle Tenn St 16.000 85.000 85.0 0 0 0 0
86 Army 15.000 86.000 86.0 0 0 0 0
87 Vanderbilt 14.000 87.000 87.0 0 0 0 0
88 W Michigan 13.000 88.000 88.0 0 0 0 0
89 Buffalo 12.000 89.000 89.0 0 0 0 0
90 Maryland 11.000 90.000 90.0 0 0 0 0
91 Miami OH 10.000 91.000 91.0 0 0 0 0
92 Toledo 9.000 92.000 92.0 0 0 0 0
93 Colorado 8.000 93.000 93.0 0 0 0 0
94 Wyoming 7.000 94.000 94.0 0 0 0 0
95 UNLV 6.000 95.000 95.0 0 0 0 0
96 San Diego St 6.000 95.000 95.0 0 0 0 0
97 Hawaii 4.000 97.000 97.0 0 0 0 0
98 Washington St 3.000 98.000 98.0 0 0 0 0
99 SMU 2.000 99.000 99.0 0 0 0 0
100 Tulsa 1.000 100.000 100.0 0 0 0 0
101 UAB 0.000 101.000 101.0 0 0 0 0
102 FL Atlantic -1.000 102.000 102.0 0 0 0 0
103 ULL -2.000 103.000 103.0 0 0 0 0
104 ULM -3.000 104.000 104.0 0 0 0 0
105 Arkansas St -4.000 105.000 105.0 0 0 0 0
106 Florida Intl -5.000 106.000 106.0 0 0 0 0
107 North Texas -6.000 107.000 107.0 0 0 0 0
108 Ball St -7.000 108.000 108.0 0 0 0 0
109 Akron -8.000 109.000 109.0 0 0 0 0
110 Memphis -9.000 110.000 110.0 0 0 0 0
111 Rice -10.000 111.000 111.0 0 0 0 0
112 Tulane -11.000 112.000 112.0 0 0 0 0
113 UTEP -12.000 113.000 113.0 0 0 0 0
114 New Mexico St -13.000 114.000 114.0 0 0 0 0
115 Utah St -14.000 115.000 115.0 0 0 0 0
116 New Mexico -14.000 115.000 115.0 0 0 0 0
117 Colorado St -16.000 117.000 117.0 0 0 0 0
118 San Jose St -16.000 117.000 117.0 0 0 0 0
119 W Kentucky -18.000 119.000 119.0 0 0 0 0
120 E Michigan -19.000 120.000 120.0 0 0 0 0
The Superlist is compiled from excellent computer rating systems.
Retrodictive systems judge all games are treated equally through the
season and margins of victory are not included. Predictive means that
games are weighted toward the end of the season to reflect their
current strength instead of their average strength throughout the
season as retrodictive ones do. Predictive systems do consider margins
of victory. These are only general observations of retrodictive and
predictive systems. Individual systems may not fit this description
exactly.
rating = the fabricated points issued to each team according to the
Superlist formula. If a team wins the number one position in all
rating systems it will score 100. If a team wins all number two
positions it will score 99. With all number thirty positions a team
would score 71.
rating = 101 - 0.5*(average + median)
average = average ranking by the systems.
median = the middle point at which half the systems awarding the team
a position would show a higher position and half would award it a
lower one. For example, if there were three systems and a team had
positions 18, 24, and 25, the median position would be the middle one
- 24. If there are an even number of systems the two middle numbers
are averaged for the median. That moves one system above the median
and one system below the median unless both systems assign the team
the same position. Examples:
4, 5, 8, and 9 would yield a median of 6.5.
4, 6, 6, and 20 would become 6.
The systems included in the Superlist are:
Minimum Violations (MinV) College Football Ranking
http://www.unf.edu/~jcoleman/minv.htm
Jeff Sagarin's ELO Ratings Data missing
http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt09.htm
NCAA Division IA Football Power Ratings Data missing
http://www.jhowell.net/cf/cfindex.htm
The Dr. Edward Kambour NCAA Football Ratings Data missing
http://www.kambour.net/football.html
Massey Ratings Data missing
http://www.masseyratings.com/rate.php?lg=cf&sub=IA&mid=6
F.A.C.T. Data missing
http://prwolfe.bol.ucla.edu/cfootball/rothman.txt
Nutshell Sports Data missing
http://www.nutshellsports.com/ncaafb.html
David Wilson's Performance Ratings Data missing
http://homepages.cae.wisc.edu/~dwilson/byrate.html
2009 College Football Data missing
http://prwolfe.bol.ucla.edu/cfootball/home.htm
_________________________________________
The Superlist was conceived and formulated by Ray Waits of Nutshell Sports
Ratings and consultant Stewart Huckaby of ARGH Ratings. It is the
property
of Ray Waits and
David Wilson.
YourLinx Ratings can be found at:
http://www.nutshellsports.com/
Your comments are welcomed:
ray@ebarrelracing.com
_________________________________________
Feel free to distribute this to your friends. Better yet, tell them
where they can subscribe. They will receive sports ratings year round.
Sports pages you just can't miss:
David Wilson's American College Football - Rankings List
http://www.cae.wisc.edu/~dwilson/rsfc/rate/index.html
Everything you ever wanted to know about College Football
http://www.cae.wisc.edu/~dwilson/rsfc/
Kenneth Massey's College Football Ranking Comparison
http://masseyratings.com/cf/compare.htm
Kenneth Massey's College Basketball Ranking Comparison
http://masseyratings.com/cb/compare.htm
NFL and NCAA Football Prediction Trackers
http://tbeck.freeshell.org/
Jon Dokter's Players' Poll Proposal
http://mintaka.sdsu.edu/~dokter/sw/newpoll.html
Ray Wait's MegaRanking (BCS alternative)
http://www.nutshellsports.com/bcs.html
Know of another great sports page that should be listed here? Send it
to me at:
ray@ebarrelracing.com
